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Super League
Referee: A Tzilos
Panathinaikos
S U U T U
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
17%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,7
4,0
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Super League · 39/35 matches
Win Ø 55%
67%
43%
Points per game
2,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
21%
63%
Both score Ø 37%
28%
46%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 2. · Aris Thessalonikis 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 39 29 5 5 +56 92
2 Panathinaikos 39 26 9 4 +34 87
3 PAOK 39 22 11 6 +29 77
4 Olympiakos 39 21 11 7 +44 74
5 Aris 36 15 6 15 +14 51
6 Aris Thessalonikis 35 15 5 15 +14 50
7 Volos NFC 39 12 7 20 -33 43
8 OFI Crete 35 10 12 13 -7 42
9 Atromitos 35 9 12 14 -3 39
10 Giannina 35 7 13 15 -23 34
11 Panetolikos 35 8 9 18 -20 33
12 Lamia 35 6 14 15 -34 32
13 Asteras Tripolis 35 5 16 14 -18 31
14 Ionikos 35 7 9 19 -27 30
15 Levadeiakos 35 4 15 16 -26 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos Aris Thessalonikis
1–0 L. Kleinheisler
Bernard
6′
25′
J. Iturbe 1–1
28′
ℹ️ Juan Iturbe
VAR: Goal confirmed
32′
🟨 Andre Gray
Zvonimir Šarlija 🟨
37′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 A. Kamara
↦ A. Gray
46′
🔁 L. Rupp
↦ R. Sgouros
46′
🔁 L. Palma
↦ L. Christodoulopoulos
A. Čerin 🔁
↦ Bernard
64′
A. Šporar 🔁
↦ F. Ioannidis
64′
66′
🔁 M. García
↦ J. Iturbe
77′
ℹ️ Aboubakar Kamara
VAR: Penalty confirmed
S. Palacios 🔁
↦ D. Kourbelis
77′
80′
🟨 Luis Palma
T. Puchacz 🔁
↦ Juan Carlos
83′
B. Verbič 🔁
↦ L. Kleinheisler
83′
89′
🟨 Vladimír Darida
91′
🔁 Fabiano
↦ V. Darida
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
12 Y. Lodygin G
27 G. Kotsiras D
31 Z. Šarlija D
23 H. Magnússon D
3 Juan Carlos D
4 Rubén Pérez M
21 D. Kourbelis M
17 D. Mancini M
10 Bernard M
8 L. Kleinheisler M
7 F. Ioannidis F
Bench (9)
16 A. Čerin
9 A. Šporar
34 S. Palacios
6 T. Puchacz
77 B. Verbič
91 A. Brignoli
2 G. Vagiannidis
5 B. Schenkeveld
18 E. Çokaj

Coach: I. Jovanović

Aris Thessalonikis

99 M. Siampanis G
22 M. Odubajo D
3 N. Nkoulou D
43 M. Peersman D
18 B. Mazikou D
16 V. Darida M
13 O. Etebo M
88 R. Sgouros M
11 J. Iturbe F
9 A. Gray F
7 L. Christodoulopoulos F
Bench (9)
47 A. Kamara
5 L. Rupp
17 L. Palma
10 M. García
4 Fabiano
2 S. M'Bakata
8 C. Doukouré
23 Julián
64 Rafael Camacho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Tzilos · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.