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Ekstraklasa
Referee: W Myć
3–2
Full-time
Legnica
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Legnica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,7
This season — Ekstraklasa · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 31%
48%
13%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
58%
45%
Both score Ø 62%
65%
58%
Average goals
2,9
2,5
Scored
1,6
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

71% Possession 29%
16 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 5
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 3. · Legnica 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 31 22 5 4 +40 71
2 Legia 32 18 9 5 +19 63
3 Pogon Szczecin 31 15 9 7 +7 54
4 Lech Poznan 31 14 10 7 +15 52
5 Piast Gliwice 32 14 7 11 +6 49
6 Warta Poznan 31 12 8 11 +4 44
7 Gornik Zabrze 32 12 8 12 +1 44
8 Cracovia 32 11 9 12 +3 42
9 Widzew Lodz 32 11 8 13 -4 41
10 Zaglebie 32 11 8 13 -11 41
11 Jagiellonia 32 9 13 10 +1 40
12 Stal Mielec 32 10 10 12 -3 40
13 Radomiak Radom 31 10 8 13 -6 38
14 Korona Kielce 32 10 8 14 -9 38
15 Wisla Plock 32 10 7 15 -5 37
16 Slask Wroclaw 32 8 11 13 -13 35
17 Lechia Gdansk 32 7 6 19 -26 27
18 Legnica 31 4 10 17 -19 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pogon Szczecin Legnica
23′
ℹ️ Damian Tront
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Danijel Lončar 🟨
24′
26′
Chuca 0–1
O. Kobacki
29′
🟨 Nemanja Mijušković
1–1 D. Dąbrowski
P. Almqvist
42′
Half-time 1–1
L. Zahovič 🔁
↦ P. Almqvist
46′
M. Malec 🔁
↦ D. Lončar
46′
52′
🟨 Olaf Kobacki
S. Kowalczyk 🔁
↦ M. Łęgowski
53′
61′
🔁 M. Kostka
↦ D. Drachal
61′
🔁 H. Matynia
↦ J. Carolina
64′
🟨 Dimitar Velkovski
2–1 K. Grosicki
65′
73′
K. Drygas 2–2
D. Velkovski
75′
🔁 S. Naveda
↦ K. Drygas
M. Wędrychowski 🔁
↦ V. Bichakhchyan
76′
76′
🔁 G. Masouras
↦ O. Kobacki
2–3 H. Matynia
own goal
77′
K. Triantafyllópoulos 🔁
↦ K. Grosicki
82′
88′
🔁 Koldo Obieta
↦ D. Tront
Luka Zahović 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Pogon Szczecin

4-2-3-1
1 D. Stipica G
41 P. Stolarski D
68 D. Lončar D
23 B. Zech D
32 L. Koútris D
99 M. Łęgowski M
8 D. Dąbrowski M
22 V. Bichakhchyan M
20 A. Gorgon M
11 K. Grosicki M
9 P. Almqvist F
Bench (9)
10 L. Zahovič
33 M. Malec
27 S. Kowalczyk
15 M. Wędrychowski
13 K. Triantafyllópoulos
81 B. Klebaniuk
4 Léo Borges
73 A. Przyborek
7 R. Kurzawa

Coach: J. Gustafsson

Legnica

4-1-4-1
31 M. Abramowicz G
5 L. Gülen D
25 N. Mijušković D
27 A. Niewulis D
23 J. Carolina D
20 D. Tront M
16 D. Drachal M
14 K. Drygas M
8 Chuca M
19 D. Velkovski M
79 O. Kobacki F
Bench (9)
17 M. Kostka
3 H. Matynia
15 S. Naveda
21 G. Masouras
11 Koldo Obieta
77 P. Chadala
9 L. Narsingh
1 P. Lenarcik
6 S. Matuszek

Coach: G. Mokry

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Myć · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.