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Championship

Referee: O Langford

Stoke

S S U U S

1–2

Full-time

Bristol City

U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stoke Bristol City

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,0

1,5

Scored

2,2

0,5

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,5

This season — Championship · 39/39 matches

Win Ø 34%

36%

31%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

46%

36%

Both score Ø 48%

41%

54%

Average goals

2,5

2,4

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

8 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 4

0 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stoke 13. · Bristol City 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	38	24	12	2	+45	84
2	Sheffield United	38	22	7	9	+26	73
3	Middlesbrough	38	20	7	11	+26	67
4	Luton	37	18	11	8	+13	65
5	Millwall	40	17	11	12	+8	62
6	Blackburn	38	19	4	15	+0	61
7	Norwich	39	16	9	14	+10	57
8	West Brom	39	15	11	13	+6	56
9	Preston	39	15	11	13	-7	56
10	Watford	39	14	13	12	+3	55
11	Coventry	37	14	11	12	+5	53
12	Sunderland	37	14	10	13	+7	52
13	Stoke	39	14	9	16	+7	51
14	Bristol City	39	12	13	14	-1	49
15	Swansea	39	13	10	16	-5	49
16	Birmingham	39	13	9	17	-7	48
17	Hull	39	12	12	15	-10	48
18	Reading	39	13	7	19	-18	46
19	Rotherham	39	10	14	15	-8	44
20	QPR	39	11	9	19	-22	42
21	Cardiff	38	10	9	19	-14	39
22	Huddersfield	39	10	9	20	-19	39
23	Wigan	39	8	13	18	-25	37
24	Blackpool	39	8	11	20	-20	35

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	20	14	6	0	+30	48
2	Blackburn	18	13	1	4	+11	40
3	Middlesbrough	19	11	6	2	+22	39
4	Sheffield United	18	11	3	4	+18	36
5	Millwall	20	10	6	4	+12	36
6	West Brom	20	10	6	4	+11	36
7	Reading	19	10	4	5	+7	34
8	Watford	19	9	6	4	+11	33
9	Luton	19	8	7	4	+7	31
10	Bristol City	20	8	6	6	+6	30
11	Rotherham	19	8	5	6	+9	29
12	Coventry	18	8	5	5	+2	29
13	Norwich	20	8	4	8	+4	28
14	Swansea	19	8	3	8	+2	27
15	Birmingham	20	7	5	8	+2	26
16	Huddersfield	20	7	5	8	-2	26
17	Hull	20	7	5	8	-5	26
18	Cardiff	20	6	6	8	-2	24
19	Preston	20	6	6	8	-6	24
20	Stoke	19	6	5	8	+2	23
21	Sunderland	18	6	5	7	-1	23
22	QPR	19	6	4	9	-7	22
23	Blackpool	19	5	6	8	-2	21
24	Wigan	20	4	6	10	-17	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	20	11	4	5	+8	37
2	Burnley	18	10	6	2	+15	36
3	Luton	18	10	4	4	+6	34
4	Preston	19	9	5	5	-1	32
5	Sunderland	19	8	5	6	+8	29
6	Norwich	19	8	5	6	+6	29
7	Stoke	20	8	4	8	+5	28
8	Middlesbrough	19	9	1	9	+4	28
9	Millwall	20	7	5	8	-4	26
10	Coventry	19	6	6	7	+3	24
11	Hull	19	5	7	7	-5	22
12	Swansea	20	5	7	8	-7	22
13	Watford	20	5	7	8	-8	22
14	Birmingham	19	6	4	9	-9	22
15	Blackburn	20	6	3	11	-11	21
16	West Brom	19	5	5	9	-5	20
17	QPR	20	5	5	10	-15	20
18	Bristol City	19	4	7	8	-7	19
19	Wigan	19	4	7	8	-8	19
20	Cardiff	18	4	3	11	-12	15
21	Rotherham	20	2	9	9	-17	15
22	Blackpool	20	3	5	12	-18	14
23	Huddersfield	19	3	4	12	-17	13
24	Reading	20	3	3	14	-25	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.