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LaLiga2
Referee: M Orellana
Zaragoza
S S T S U
1–2
Full-time
Mirandes
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Mirandes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 23%
24%
21%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
33%
52%
Both score Ø 57%
52%
61%
Average goals
2,2
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%
26 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 3
14 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 22
5 Yellow cards 8
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 19. · Mirandes 22.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 34 19 5 10 +14 -4.2 62
2 Almeria 34 18 7 9 +19 +5.1 61
3 La Coruna 34 17 9 8 +15 +2.4 60
4 Las Palmas 34 15 12 7 +17 +2.4 57
5 Malaga 34 16 9 9 +15 +6.3 57
6 Burgos 34 16 9 9 +12 +4.8 57
7 Castellon 33 15 9 9 +14 +3.7 54
8 Eibar 34 15 9 10 +9 +7.4 54
9 Ceuta 34 14 6 14 -13 -11.6 48
10 Andorra 34 12 10 12 +3 +2.2 46
11 Sp Gijon 33 13 7 13 +1 +1.1 46
12 Cordoba 34 12 9 13 -6 +3.7 45
13 Albacete 34 11 11 12 -2 +1.1 44
14 Granada 33 10 12 11 +3 +0.5 42
15 Sociedad B 33 11 7 15 -4 -8.4 40
16 Leganes 34 9 12 13 +1 +3.1 39
17 Valladolid 34 10 9 15 -8 +2.2 39
18 Cadiz 34 10 8 16 -14 -7.7 38
19 Zaragoza 33 8 10 15 -14 -0.2 34
20 Huesca 34 8 8 18 -18 -0.5 32
21 Cultural Leonesa 34 8 8 18 -24 -9.1 32
22 Mirandes 33 7 8 18 -20 -4.3 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Mirandes
Dani Tasende 🟨
-5′
Jawad El Yamiq 🟨
21′
21′
🟨 Fernando Medrano
1–0 D. Gomez
23′
32′
🟨 Rafael Bauzà
Yussif Saidu 🟨
37′
42′
🟨 Salim El Jebari
45′
U. del Cura 1–1
Half-time 1–1
M. A. Cuenca 🔁
↦ H. Pinilla
46′
M. Mensah 🔁
↦ Y. Saidu
46′
46′
🔁 H. Novoa Ramos
↦ T. Tamarit
53′
C. Fernandez 1–2
J. Hernandez
58′
🟨 Juan Gutiérrez
62′
🟨 Unax del Cura
68′
🔁 S. Balde
↦ U. del Cura
68′
🔁 I. Varela
↦ S. El Jebari
Dani Gómez 🟨
70′
M. Soberon 🔁
↦ D. Gomez
73′
74′
🟨 Iker Varela
D. Tasende 🔁
↦ R. Gonzalez
80′
82′
🔁 S. Clua
↦ R. Bauza
83′
🔁 A. Martin Luis
↦ C. Fernandez
87′
🟨 Juan Palomares
Keidi Bare 🟨
90′
97′
🟨 Javier Hernández
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Zaragoza

4-4-2
1 E. Andrada G
20 M. Aguirregabiria D
18 J. El Yamiq D
16 A. Radovanovic D
27 J. Larios D
11 R. Gonzalez M
33 Y. Saidu M
6 K. Bare M
31 H. Pinilla M
19 K. Kodro F
9 D. Gomez F
Bench (12)
13 A. Rodriguez
4 P. Insua
17 F. Moyano
23 M. A. Cuenca
8 T. Moya
15 C. Pomares
25 N. Cumic
7 M. Soberon
2 J. Sebastian
3 D. Tasende
26 M. Mensah
36 A. Gomes

Coach: David Navarro

Mirandes

4-4-2
13 Juanpa G
27 T. Tamarit D
22 J. Gutierrez D
15 J. Cabello D
3 F. Medrano D
28 J. Hernandez M
18 R. Bauza M
6 T. Helguera M
30 S. El Jebari M
10 C. Fernandez F
48 U. del Cura F
Bench (12)
1 I. Nikic
4 M. Pascual
8 A. Martin Luis
19 N. Maras
2 H. Novoa Ramos
20 D. Sia
9 S. Balde
7 I. Varela
24 I. Cordoba
5 A. Pica
29 A. Houary
16 S. Clua

Coach: Antxon Muneta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,81
U
3,33
B ✓
4,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Orellana · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
7,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.