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LaLiga2
Referee: G Cid
Eibar
T S S U S
3–1
Full-time
Las Palmas
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 41%
39%
42%
Points per game
1,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
42%
39%
Both score Ø 49%
45%
52%
Average goals
2,0
2,1
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

2,16 xG 1,74
31% Possession 69%
9 Shots 21
7 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 9
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 10
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 10. · Las Palmas 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 31 18 5 8 +18 -2.5 59
2 La Coruna 32 16 8 8 +13 +2.4 56
3 Almeria 31 16 7 8 +16 +2.2 55
4 Malaga 32 16 7 9 +15 +6.3 55
5 Burgos 32 15 8 9 +11 +4.1 53
6 Las Palmas 31 13 12 6 +16 +2.8 51
7 Castellon 32 14 9 9 +12 +3.7 51
8 Ceuta 32 14 5 13 -10 -9.6 47
9 Sp Gijon 32 13 7 12 +3 +1.1 46
10 Eibar 31 12 9 10 +3 +4.9 45
11 Albacete 32 11 10 11 -1 +1.8 43
12 Granada 32 10 12 10 +5 +0.5 42
13 Cordoba 32 11 9 12 -6 +2.5 42
14 Sociedad B 31 11 7 13 +1 -5.4 40
15 Andorra 31 10 9 12 -5 +2.8 39
16 Leganes 32 9 11 12 +2 +3.1 38
17 Cadiz 32 10 8 14 -9 -6.5 38
18 Valladolid 32 9 9 14 -10 +2.2 36
19 Huesca 32 8 7 17 -17 -0.5 31
20 Zaragoza 31 7 9 15 -16 -1.9 30
21 Mirandes 32 7 7 18 -20 -4.3 28
22 Cultural Leonesa 31 7 7 17 -21 -9.6 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Las Palmas
1–0 A. Madariaga
16′
17′
M. Fuster 1–1
Viti
Javier Martón ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
21′
2–1 Javier Marton
A. Garrido
31′
3–1 Javier Marton
S. Cubero
43′
Half-time 3–1
José Corpas 🟨
57′
58′
🔁 E. Pedrola
↦ A. Garcia
L. Olaetxea 🔁
↦ A. Garrido
66′
J. Bautista 🔁
↦ Javier Marton
66′
68′
🔁 I. Bravo
↦ Jese
68′
🔁 Pejino
↦ K. Rodriguez
Lander Olaetxea 🟨
71′
J. Martinez 🔁
↦ A. Madariaga
75′
80′
🟨 Mika Mármol
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia 🟨
81′
84′
🔁 I. Gil
↦ M. Fuster
84′
🔁 Alex Suarez
↦ Sergio Barcia
Jon Bautista 🟨
87′
A. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ J. Corpas
87′
A. Ares 🔁
↦ J. Guruzeta
87′
92′
🟨 Alex Suárez
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 J. Magunagoitia G
2 S. Cubero D
8 P. Nolaskoain D
15 Jair D
23 A. Arbilla D
6 S. Alvarez M
30 A. Garrido M
17 J. Corpas M
16 A. Madariaga M
10 J. Guruzeta M
20 Javier Marton F
Bench (10)
1 L. Lopez
22 A. Rodriguez
4 A. Arambarri
11 J. Magunazelaia Argoitia
18 A. Ares
14 L. Olaetxea
9 J. Bautista
5 J. Martinez
3 H. Arrillaga
27 H. Garcia

Coach: Benat San Jose

Las Palmas

4-2-3-1
1 D. Horkas G
17 Viti D
6 Sergio Barcia D
3 M. Marmol D
5 E. Clemente D
12 E. Loiodice M
20 K. Rodriguez M
18 T. Miyashiro M
14 M. Fuster M
22 A. Garcia M
10 Jese F
Bench (12)
35 A. Suarez
13 J. Caro
8 I. Gil
49 I. Bravo
26 I. Gonzalez
27 V. Pezzolesi
19 S. Ramirez
7 N. Benedetti
4 Alex Suarez
24 Pejino
39 E. Pedrola
42 V. Alegre

Coach: Luis Garcia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,42
U
2,89
B
2,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,53
U2,5
1,46
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Cid · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.