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LaLiga2
Referee: José Guzmán
Oviedo
S U U S S
1–1
Full-time
Eldense
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Eldense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 36%
38%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
29%
42%
Both score Ø 52%
46%
58%
Average goals
1,9
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

70% Possession 30%
27 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
16 Corners 5
5 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Oviedo 8. · Eldense 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 25 13 7 5 +20 46
2 Eibar 25 12 6 7 +11 42
3 Ferrol 25 11 9 5 +5 42
4 Valladolid 25 12 4 9 +3 40
5 Elche 25 11 7 7 +3 40
6 Sp Gijon 24 10 9 5 +11 39
7 Espanol 24 10 8 6 +10 38
8 Oviedo 24 9 10 5 +10 37
9 Levante 24 9 10 5 +2 37
10 Burgos 25 10 6 9 +0 36
11 Mirandes 25 8 9 8 +3 33
12 Zaragoza 24 8 9 7 +2 33
13 Santander 24 9 6 9 +1 33
14 Tenerife 25 9 6 10 -1 33
15 Eldense 24 8 9 7 -2 33
16 Huesca 25 6 9 10 -2 27
17 Albacete 25 6 8 11 -9 26
18 Cartagena 25 6 7 12 -11 25
19 Villarreal B 25 6 7 12 -14 25
20 Alcorcon 25 6 7 12 -14 25
21 Andorra 25 6 6 13 -12 24
22 Amorebieta 24 3 7 14 -16 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Oct -23 Eldense – Oviedo 1–3

Match report

Oviedo Eldense
17′
🟨 David Timor
23′
Iván Chapela 0–1
Álex Bernal
Santiago Colombatto 🟨
27′
33′
🟨 Marc Mateu
33′
🟨 Jesús Clemente
Half-time 0–1
David Costas 🔁
↦ Viti Rozada
46′
Paulino de la Fuente 🔁
↦ Jimmy
46′
Santi Cazorla 🔁
↦ Masca
46′
58′
🔁 M. Dauda
↦ Juanto
59′
🔁 Derick Poloni
↦ Jesús Clemente
Borja Bastón ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
68′
70′
🟥 Dario Đumić
Alemão 🔁
↦ Sebas Moyano
71′
1–1 Borja Bastón
71′
Lucas Ahijado 🔁
↦ David Costas
77′
78′
🔁 Pedro Capó
↦ David Timor
78′
🔁 Carlos Hernández
↦ Álex Bernal
82′
🟨 Dauda Mohammed
85′
🔁 M. Doué
↦ Marc Mateu
96′
🟨 Derick Poloni
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Oviedo

4-4-2
31 Leo Román G
7 Viti Rozada D
15 Oier Luengo D
12 Dani Calvo D
23 Abel Bretones D
20 Masca M
6 Jimmy M
11 S. Colombatto M
17 Sebas Moyano M
22 J. Dubasin F
9 Borja Bastón F
Bench (9)
4 David Costas
18 Paulino de la Fuente
8 Santi Cazorla
14 Alemão
24 Lucas Ahijado
16 Jaime Seoane
25 Borja Sánchez
1 Q. Braat
21 Carlos Pomares

Coach: Luis Carrión

Eldense

4-4-2
31 Álvaro Aceves G
2 Toni Abad D
4 D. Đumić D
5 Piña D
23 Marc Mateu D
17 Jesús Clemente M
8 Sergio Ortu M
24 David Timor M
20 Iván Chapela M
11 Juanto F
21 Álex Bernal F
Bench (12)
15 M. Dauda
12 Derick Poloni
18 Pedro Capó
6 Carlos Hernández
22 M. Doué
25 Nacho Monsalve
14 Miguel Llambrich
10 Cris Montes
19 Joel Jorquera
1 Guille Vallejo
13 Ian Mackay
3 Álex Martínez

Coach: Fernando Estévez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,93
U ✓
3,15
B
4,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,56
U2,5 ✓
1,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Guzmán · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.