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LaLiga2
Referee: Saúl Ais
Zaragoza
U U U S U
3–0
Full-time
Sp Gijon
U U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 38%
33%
42%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
17%
38%
Both score Ø 40%
38%
42%
Average goals
1,9
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
13 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 14. · Sp Gijon 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 25 13 7 5 +20 46
2 Eibar 25 12 6 7 +11 42
3 Ferrol 25 11 9 5 +5 42
4 Espanol 25 11 8 6 +11 41
5 Valladolid 25 12 4 9 +3 40
6 Elche 25 11 7 7 +3 40
7 Sp Gijon 24 10 9 5 +11 39
8 Oviedo 25 9 11 5 +10 38
9 Levante 25 9 10 6 +1 37
10 Santander 25 10 6 9 +2 36
11 Burgos 25 10 6 9 +0 36
12 Eldense 25 8 10 7 -2 34
13 Mirandes 25 8 9 8 +3 33
14 Zaragoza 24 8 9 7 +2 33
15 Tenerife 25 9 6 10 -1 33
16 Huesca 25 6 9 10 -2 27
17 Albacete 25 6 8 11 -9 26
18 Cartagena 25 6 7 12 -11 25
19 Villarreal B 25 6 7 12 -14 25
20 Alcorcon 25 6 7 12 -14 25
21 Andorra 25 6 6 13 -12 24
22 Amorebieta 25 3 7 15 -17 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Sp Gijon
15′
🟨 José Ángel
36′
🟨 Cristian Rivera
0–1 C. Izquierdoz
own goal
39′
Half-time 0–1
Víctor Mollejo 🟨
47′
Jaume Grau 🔁
↦ Raúl Guti
56′
1–1 Maikel Mesa
66′
2–1 Francho Serrano
70′
Sergi Enrich 🔁
↦ Iván Azón
72′
Germán Valera 🔁
↦ Maikel Mesa
72′
72′
🔁 Fran Villalba
↦ H. Hassan
72′
🔁 Mario González
↦ U. Đurđević
72′
🔁 Roque Mesa
↦ Nacho Méndez
78′
🔁 C. Sánchez
↦ Rubén Yáñez
Manu Vallejo 🔁
↦ Víctor Mollejo
82′
Q. Lecoeuche 🔁
↦ A. Zedadka
82′
82′
🔁 J. Varane
↦ Christian Rivera
95′
🟨 Gaspar Campos
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Zaragoza

5-3-2
25 Edgar Badia G
2 A. Zedadka D
15 S. Mouriño D
24 Lluís López D
6 Alejandro Francés D
20 Víctor Mollejo D
14 Francho Serrano M
21 Toni Moya M
10 Raúl Guti M
11 Maikel Mesa F
9 Iván Azón F
Bench (12)
5 Jaume Grau
23 Sergi Enrich
7 Germán Valera
19 Manu Vallejo
22 Q. Lecoeuche
39 Aitor Mañas
13 G. Poussin
12 S. Bakış
26 Alberto Vaquero
40 Hugo Barrachina
3 Jair Amador
37 Carlos Calavia

Coach: Julio Velázquez

Sp Gijon

4-4-2
1 Rubén Yáñez G
25 A. Pașcanu D
24 C. Izquierdoz D
22 Rober Pier D
3 Cote D
21 H. Hassan M
10 Nacho Méndez M
17 Christian Rivera M
7 Gaspar Campos M
19 J. Otero F
23 U. Đurđević F
Bench (10)
8 Fran Villalba
20 Mario González
15 Roque Mesa
13 C. Sánchez
12 J. Varane
6 Nacho Martín
30 Alejandro Lozano
5 Pablo García
16 Diego Sánchez
9 Dani Queipo

Coach: Miguel Ángel Ramírez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,47
U
2,89
B
3,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,76
U2,5
1,43
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Saúl Ais · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.