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LaLiga2
Referee: Víctor García
Oviedo
U S S U T
1–0
Full-time
Sp Gijon
U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 30%
30%
30%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
15%
35%
Both score Ø 38%
30%
45%
Average goals
1,4
2,2
Scored
0,6
1,1
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
4 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oviedo 17. · Sp Gijon 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 21 10 8 3 +12 38
2 Eibar 20 10 6 4 +7 36
3 Levante 20 9 8 3 +9 35
4 Burgos 20 9 7 4 +8 34
5 Alaves 20 9 7 4 +3 34
6 Granada 21 9 5 7 +9 32
7 Cartagena 21 9 5 7 +2 32
8 Andorra 21 8 5 8 +5 29
9 Albacete 20 7 8 5 -2 29
10 Villarreal B 21 7 7 7 -2 28
11 Sp Gijon 20 6 9 5 +1 27
12 Leganes 20 7 6 7 +1 27
13 Huesca 20 7 6 7 -1 27
14 Mirandes 21 6 8 7 -2 26
15 Zaragoza 20 6 7 7 +0 25
16 Tenerife 21 6 7 8 -2 25
17 Oviedo 20 6 6 8 -3 24
18 Santander 21 5 6 10 -4 21
19 Lugo 21 5 6 10 -8 21
20 Ponferradina 21 5 6 10 -9 21
21 Malaga 20 3 7 10 -10 16
22 Ibiza 20 4 4 12 -14 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oviedo Sp Gijon
Luismi 🟨
34′
34′
🟨 Guille Rosas
Half-time 0–0
61′
🔁 J. Carrillo
↦ U. Đurđević
K. Koindredi 🔁
↦ Sergi Enrich
69′
71′
🔁 Aitor García
↦ Jony
73′
🟨 Carlos Izquierdoz
1–0 Borja Bastón
74′
76′
🔁 Cristo González
↦ Christian Rivera
Borja Sánchez 🔁
↦ Viti Rozada
78′
Abel Bretones 🟨
90′
95′
🟨 Giovanni Zarfino
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Oviedo

4-4-2
1 Q. Braat G
24 Lucas Ahijado D
3 Rodri Tarín D
12 Dani Calvo D
28 Abel Bretones D
7 Viti Rozada M
14 Jimmy Suárez M
5 Luismi M
20 Hugo Rama M
23 Sergi Enrich F
9 Borja Bastón F
Bench (7)
18 K. Koindredi
10 Borja Sánchez
15 Oier Luengo
31 Mangel Prendes
16 S. Obeng
13 Tomeu Nadal
17 D. Aceves

Coach: Álvaro

Sp Gijon

4-2-3-1
1 Iván Cuéllar G
2 Guille Rosas D
24 C. Izquierdoz D
4 Pablo Ínsua D
3 Cote D
17 Christian Rivera M
6 José Gragera M
19 J. Otero M
18 G. Zarfino M
9 Jony M
23 U. Đurđević F
Bench (12)
20 J. Carrillo
7 Aitor García
12 Cristo González
32 Diego Sánchez
8 Pedro Díaz
33 Nacho Martín
30 Dani Queipo
22 Pol Valentín
5 Bruno
26 F. Bloch
13 Diego Mariño
21 U. Milovanović

Coach: Abelardo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,75
U
2,80
B
2,89
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,93
U2,5 ✓
1,37
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Víctor García · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.