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LaLiga2
Referee: Luis Milla
Elche
S T S S S
1–2
Full-time
Cartagena
U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 28%
44%
11%
Points per game
1,6
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
22%
39%
Both score Ø 50%
39%
61%
Average goals
1,9
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%
12 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elche 7. · Cartagena 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 18 11 3 4 +18 36
2 Valladolid 19 11 2 6 +4 35
3 Sp Gijon 19 9 6 4 +11 33
4 Espanol 19 9 5 5 +10 32
5 Ferrol 18 8 7 3 +4 31
6 Eibar 18 9 3 6 +8 30
7 Elche 18 8 5 5 +1 29
8 Santander 18 8 4 6 +5 28
9 Levante 19 7 7 5 +0 28
10 Tenerife 18 8 3 7 +2 27
11 Zaragoza 19 7 5 7 +0 26
12 Burgos 19 7 5 7 -1 26
13 Oviedo 18 6 7 5 +6 25
14 Mirandes 19 6 6 7 -1 24
15 Albacete 19 6 6 7 -4 24
16 Eldense 18 6 5 7 -5 23
17 Andorra 18 6 3 9 -6 21
18 Villarreal B 19 5 5 9 -8 20
19 Huesca 18 3 7 8 -5 16
20 Amorebieta 19 3 5 11 -12 14
21 Alcorcon 18 3 5 10 -15 14
22 Cartagena 18 2 6 10 -12 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Cartagena
1–0 Óscar Plano
Aleix Febas
18′
Tete Morente 🟨
25′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 D. Musto
↦ Juan Carlos Real
46′
🔁 L. de León
↦ H. Hevel
46′
🔁 Alfredo Ortuño
↦ J. Narváez
Cristian Salvador 🔁
↦ N. Castro
64′
Borja Garcés 🔁
↦ Mourad
64′
66′
Alfredo Ortuño 1–1
Iván Calero
71′
🟨 Isak Jansson
73′
🔁 Úmaro Embaló
↦ I. Jansson
Fidel 🔁
↦ N. Fernández Mercau
74′
78′
🟨 Gonzalo Verdú
Diego González 🔁
↦ Mario Gaspar
80′
Sergio León 🔁
↦ Óscar Plano
81′
84′
Luis Muñoz 1–2
Úmaro Embaló
88′
🟨 Jose Fontán
Borja Garcés 🟨
89′
90′
🔁 Mikel Rico
↦ Luis Muñoz
94′
🟨 Alfredo Ortuño
Pedro Bigas 🟨
99′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Elche

4-4-2
1 Miguel San Román G
17 Josan D
2 Mario Gaspar D
6 Pedro Bigas D
23 Carlos Clerc D
22 N. Fernández Mercau M
21 N. Castro M
14 Aleix Febas M
11 Tete Morente M
19 Mourad F
7 Óscar Plano F
Bench (12)
20 Cristian Salvador
18 Borja Garcés
16 Fidel
4 Diego González
9 Sergio León
32 Adam Boayar
13 Edgar Badia
3 L. Blanco
24 Sergio Carreira
12 José Salinas
30 Rodrigo Mendoza
34 Javier Pamies

Coach: S. Beccacece

Cartagena

4-2-3-1
1 Marc Martínez G
16 Iván Calero D
4 Alcalá D
5 Gonzalo Verdú D
14 José Fontán D
23 T. Alarcón M
8 Luis Muñoz M
10 H. Hevel M
11 Juan Carlos Real M
21 I. Jansson M
12 J. Narváez F
Bench (11)
18 D. Musto
29 L. de León
9 Alfredo Ortuño
19 Úmaro Embaló
17 Mikel Rico
48 Jhafets Christ
7 David Ferreiro
47 Juan Carlos
32 Jony Álamo
13 Raúl Lizoain
35 Iván Ayllón

Coach: Julián Calero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,73
U
3,57
B ✓
4,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,10
U2,5
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luis Milla · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.