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Süper Lig
Referee: B Şeker
Buyuksehyr
T U T S T
1–0
Full-time
Hatayspor
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Buyuksehyr Hatayspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 25%
21%
29%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
36%
71%
Both score Ø 50%
29%
71%
Average goals
2,4
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,00 xG 2,75
40% Possession 60%
8 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Buyuksehyr 19. · Hatayspor 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 15 13 1 1 +29 +28.0 40
2 Galatasaray 15 13 1 1 +22 +22.4 40
3 Kayserispor 15 8 5 2 +7 -2.4 29
4 Besiktas 15 8 2 5 +3 +5.8 26
5 Ad. Demirspor 15 6 5 4 +8 -0.6 23
6 Trabzonspor 14 7 2 5 +6 -2.4 23
7 Antalyaspor 15 6 5 4 +5 -0.3 23
8 Kasimpasa 15 6 3 6 -4 -5.8 21
9 Rizespor 14 6 3 5 -5 -6.5 21
10 Hatayspor 14 4 6 4 +3 +2.6 18
11 Karagumruk 15 4 5 6 +4 -4.2 17
12 Ankaragücü 14 4 5 5 +0 -2.1 17
13 Sivasspor 14 3 6 5 -7 -0.5 15
14 Gaziantep 14 5 0 9 -8 -3.4 15
15 Konyaspor 14 3 5 6 -5 -4.0 14
16 Samsunspor 15 4 2 9 -8 +2.8 14
17 Alanyaspor 15 3 5 7 -11 -2.5 14
18 Pendikspor 15 3 4 8 -17 -9.2 13
19 Buyuksehyr 14 3 3 8 -6 -4.1 12
20 İstanbulspor 15 2 2 11 -16 -13.6 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,93
U
3,54
B
3,83
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Şeker · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.