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Copa del Rey
Referee: Germán Cid
1–3
Full-time
Elche
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Linares Deportivo Elche
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 21%
25%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,0
This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0 Corners 1
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Linares Deportivo 65. · Elche 30.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Getafe 2 2 0 0 +13 6
2 Betis 2 2 0 0 +12 6
3 Alaves 2 2 0 0 +11 6
4 Vallecano 2 2 0 0 +8 6
5 Mallorca 2 2 0 0 +7 6
6 Villarreal 2 2 0 0 +6 6
7 Sevilla 2 2 0 0 +5 6
8 Espanol 2 2 0 0 +4 6
9 Las Palmas 2 2 0 0 +4 6
10 Unionistas de Salamanca 2 2 0 0 +4 6
11 Burgos 2 2 0 0 +3 6
12 Lugo 2 2 0 0 +3 6
13 Valencia 2 2 0 0 +3 6
14 Huesca 2 2 0 0 +3 6
15 Castellon 2 2 0 0 +2 6
16 Tenerife 2 2 0 0 +2 6
17 Arandina 2 2 0 0 +2 6
18 Sociedad 2 2 0 0 +2 6
19 Barbastro 2 2 0 0 +2 6
20 Malaga 2 1 1 0 +1 4
21 Alcorcon 2 1 1 0 +1 4
22 Celta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
23 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +4 3
24 Granada 1 1 0 0 +3 3
25 Valladolid 2 1 0 1 +2 3
26 Levante 2 1 0 1 +2 3
27 Buñol 2 1 0 1 +2 3
28 Ferrol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Elche 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 La Coruna 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 Sestao River 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Sp Gijon 2 1 0 1 +1 3
34 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Ath Bilbao 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Almeria 2 1 0 1 +1 3
37 Melilla 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Cayón 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Amorebieta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Eldense 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Oviedo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Antequera 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Andratx 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Villanovense 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Atzeneta 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Yeclano 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Tudelano 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Terrassa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
49 Mirandes 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Arenteiro 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Atlético Astorga 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 Turégano 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Quintanar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Valle Egüés 2 1 0 1 -2 3
55 Boiro 2 1 0 1 -3 3
56 Chiclana 2 1 0 1 -4 3
57 Atlético Lugones 2 1 0 1 -5 3
58 Deportivo Murcia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
59 Hernán Cortés 2 1 0 1 -9 3
60 Tardienta 2 1 0 1 -11 3
61 Cartagena 2 0 2 0 +0 2
62 Santander 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Rotlet Molinar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Ucam Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Linares Deportivo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Badalona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Azuaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Barakaldo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Orihuela 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Gimnastic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Zamora 2 0 1 1 -1 1
72 Rubí 2 0 1 1 -1 1
73 Cadiz 2 0 1 1 -1 1
74 Gimnástica Segoviana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Tarazona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Pradejón 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Zirauki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Ursaria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Mijas Las Lagunas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Monte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Unión Zona Norte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Antoniano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Andorra 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Real Avilés 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Real Murcia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
99 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 0 1 -1 0
100 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
101 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
102 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Santurtzi 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Sauzal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Covadonga 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Manchego 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 Marbella 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 UD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Gernika 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Sanluqueño 1 0 0 1 -2 0
111 Mensajero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
112 CF Talavera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
113 Llerenense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
114 Europa Fc 1 0 0 1 -2 0
115 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
116 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -3 0
117 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
118 Varea 1 0 0 1 -3 0
119 Peña Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
120 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
121 Arosa 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Linares Deportivo Elche
Half-time 0–0
56′
🔁 N. Castro
↦ Rodrigo Mendoza
56′
🔁 Carlos Clerc
↦ L. Blanco
56′
🔁 Mourad
↦ Adam Boayar
58′
Borja Garcés 0–1
Sergio Carreira
1–1 Samu Corral
61′
Berlanga 🔁
↦ Hugo Díaz
68′
72′
🔁 Aleix Febas
↦ Fidel
Fran Ortuño 🔁
↦ Rafa Llorente
77′
Zaki 🔁
↦ Fran Varela
77′
80′
🔁 Sergio León
↦ Borja Garcés
83′
Aleix Febas 1–2
86′
🟨 Diego González
Javi Duarte 🔁
↦ Alberto Moreno
86′
Pepe Mena 🔁
↦ Samu Corral
86′
89′
Sergio León 1–3
Manolo Molina 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Linares Deportivo

4-1-4-1
13 Samu Casado G
18 Dani Perejón D
4 Manolo Molina D
2 Tano Bonnín D
3 Fran Varela D
5 Javier Rentero
21 Rafa Llorente M
6 Alberto Moreno M
8 Rodri M
7 Hugo Díaz F
14 Samu Corral F
Bench (11)
11 Berlanga
19 Fran Ortuño
29 Zaki
15 Javi Duarte
9 Pepe Mena
27 Álex Oyón
10 Mawi
30 Miguel Carrillo
1 E. Juskevicius
28 Lucas Suárez
20 E. Sutherland

Coach: David Campaña

Elche

5-4-1
13 Edgar Badia G
3 L. Blanco D
34 Javier Pamies D
24 Sergio Carreira D
12 José Salinas D
4 Diego González D
16 Fidel M
30 Rodrigo Mendoza M
20 Cristian Salvador M
32 Adam Boayar M
18 Borja Garcés F
Bench (11)
21 N. Castro
23 Carlos Clerc
19 Mourad
14 Aleix Febas
9 Sergio León
2 Mario Gaspar
27 A. Houary
1 Miguel San Román
6 Pedro Bigas
22 N. Fernández Mercau
17 Josan

Coach: S. Beccacece

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Germán Cid · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.