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Europa League
Referee: M Krogh
Liverpool
S S S S T
2–0
Full-time
St. Gilloise
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
2,7
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,0
1,7
Scored
3,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,91 xG 1,09
73% Possession 27%
19 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 11
3 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 14
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Krogh · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.