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LaLiga2
Referee: Raúl González
Eibar
U S T U S
1–0
Full-time
Lugo
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Lugo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 35%
46%
23%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
46%
46%
Both score Ø 54%
46%
62%
Average goals
2,2
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

72% Possession 28%
18 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
12 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 5. · Lugo 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burgos 14 7 6 1 +9 27
2 Alaves 14 7 6 1 +5 27
3 Las Palmas 14 7 5 2 +9 26
4 Levante 13 6 4 3 +5 22
5 Eibar 13 6 4 3 +4 22
6 Granada 13 6 3 4 +5 21
7 Cartagena 13 6 3 4 +4 21
8 Andorra 14 6 3 5 +3 21
9 Albacete 13 5 6 2 +3 21
10 Huesca 14 5 5 4 +3 20
11 Sp Gijon 13 5 4 4 +1 19
12 Villarreal B 13 4 5 4 -1 17
13 Leganes 14 5 2 7 -1 17
14 Zaragoza 14 4 4 6 -3 16
15 Ponferradina 14 4 4 6 -6 16
16 Santander 14 3 6 5 -3 15
17 Tenerife 13 3 5 5 -2 14
18 Lugo 13 3 4 6 -3 13
19 Oviedo 13 3 4 6 -4 13
20 Ibiza 14 3 2 9 -12 11
21 Mirandes 13 1 6 6 -7 9
22 Malaga 13 2 3 8 -9 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Lugo
-5′
🟨 Neyder Lozano
Juan Berrocal 🟨
9′
Half-time 0–0
Ager Aketxe 🟨
56′
56′
🟨 Josep Señé
57′
🔁 Clavería
↦ Josep Señé
57′
🔁 Ángel Baena
↦ J. Cuéllar
65′
🟨 Xavi Torres
Ángel Troncho 🔁
↦ José Corpas
69′
Javi Muñoz 🔁
↦ Ager Aketxe
69′
71′
🔁 C. Cotos
↦ Sebas Moyano
Quique González 🔁
↦ G. Blanco
78′
80′
🔁 O. Lebedenko
↦ M. El Hacen
81′
🟨 Cesar Rodriguez
Rober Correa 🔁
↦ Imanol García de Albéniz
84′
Vadillo 🔁
↦ Stoichkov
84′
Frederico Venâncio 🟨
89′
1–0 Quique González
93′
Quique 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
25 L. Zidane G
15 Álvaro Tejero D
3 Frederico Venâncio D
5 Juan Berrocal D
30 Imanol García de Albéniz D
6 Sergio Álvarez M
8 Matheus Pereira M
17 José Corpas M
10 Ager Aketxe M
19 Stoichkov M
9 G. Blanco F
Bench (8)
31 Ángel Troncho
14 Javi Muñoz
7 Quique González
4 Rober Correa
21 Vadillo
22 Peru Nolaskoain
1 Ander Cantero
13 Yoel

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Lugo

4-4-2
13 Óscar Whalley G
15 Miguel Loureiro D
14 Xavi Torres D
21 Alberto Rodríguez D
12 Zé Ricardo D
29 J. Cuéllar M
22 Marc Carbó M
8 Josep Señé M
7 Sebas Moyano M
16 Chris Ramos F
18 M. El Hacen F
Bench (12)
4 Clavería
11 Ángel Baena
31 C. Cotos
19 O. Lebedenko
1 P. Sequeira
6 Juanpe
17 N. Lozano
32 I. Thiam
26 Julen Fernández
27 Castrín
37 L. Antonetti
34 Jesús Fernández

Coach: Hernán Pérez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,55
U
3,84
B
6,16
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,12
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Raúl González · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.