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Championship

Referee: D Whitestone

Millwall

U S T U S

0–0

Full-time

Bristol City

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Millwall Bristol City

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

This season — Championship · 23/24 matches

Win Ø 36%

43%

29%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

39%

50%

Both score Ø 49%

39%

58%

Average goals

2,4

2,7

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

9 Shots 6

0 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 3

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Millwall 7. · Bristol City 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	24	14	8	2	+25	50
2	Sheffield United	24	14	5	5	+20	47
3	Blackburn	24	13	0	11	+0	39
4	Watford	24	10	7	7	+6	37
5	Norwich	24	10	5	9	+4	35
6	Luton	23	9	8	6	+4	35
7	Millwall	23	10	5	8	+3	35
8	QPR	25	10	5	10	-3	35
9	Reading	24	11	2	11	-6	35
10	Preston	24	9	7	8	-1	34
11	Middlesbrough	23	9	6	8	+6	33
12	Sunderland	23	9	6	8	+6	33
13	West Brom	24	8	8	8	+5	32
14	Birmingham	24	8	8	8	+1	32
15	Swansea	24	8	8	8	-3	32
16	Coventry	22	8	6	8	+0	30
17	Stoke	24	8	6	10	-4	30
18	Bristol City	24	7	6	11	-3	27
19	Rotherham	24	6	9	9	-6	27
20	Cardiff	24	7	6	11	-8	27
21	Hull	24	7	6	11	-14	27
22	Blackpool	24	6	7	11	-9	25
23	Wigan	24	6	6	12	-14	24
24	Huddersfield	23	6	4	13	-9	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	13	9	4	0	+18	31
2	Reading	12	8	1	3	+6	25
3	Sheffield United	12	7	3	2	+14	24
4	Blackburn	11	8	0	3	+7	24
5	Millwall	11	7	2	2	+9	23
6	Watford	12	6	2	4	+5	20
7	Middlesbrough	12	5	5	2	+5	20
8	Norwich	12	5	3	4	+4	18
9	Birmingham	12	4	5	3	+4	17
10	Coventry	10	5	2	3	+4	17
11	Swansea	11	5	2	4	+1	17
12	QPR	12	5	2	5	-1	17
13	Rotherham	12	4	4	4	+3	16
14	West Brom	12	4	4	4	+3	16
15	Sunderland	12	4	4	4	+3	16
16	Cardiff	13	4	4	5	-1	16
17	Luton	11	3	6	2	+3	15
18	Bristol City	13	4	3	6	+0	15
19	Huddersfield	12	4	2	6	-2	14
20	Hull	13	4	2	7	-9	14
21	Preston	13	3	4	6	-6	13
22	Stoke	11	3	3	5	-3	12
23	Blackpool	11	3	2	6	-4	11
24	Wigan	12	2	3	7	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	12	7	2	3	+6	23
2	Preston	11	6	3	2	+5	21
3	Luton	12	6	2	4	+1	20
4	Burnley	11	5	4	2	+7	19
5	Stoke	13	5	3	5	-1	18
6	QPR	13	5	3	5	-2	18
7	Sunderland	11	5	2	4	+3	17
8	Watford	12	4	5	3	+1	17
9	Norwich	12	5	2	5	+0	17
10	West Brom	12	4	4	4	+2	16
11	Wigan	12	4	3	5	-3	15
12	Birmingham	12	4	3	5	-3	15
13	Swansea	13	3	6	4	-4	15
14	Blackburn	13	5	0	8	-7	15
15	Blackpool	13	3	5	5	-5	14
16	Middlesbrough	11	4	1	6	+1	13
17	Coventry	12	3	4	5	-4	13
18	Hull	11	3	4	4	-5	13
19	Bristol City	11	3	3	5	-3	12
20	Millwall	12	3	3	6	-6	12
21	Cardiff	11	3	2	6	-7	11
22	Rotherham	12	2	5	5	-9	11
23	Reading	12	3	1	8	-12	10
24	Huddersfield	11	2	2	7	-7	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.