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Championship
Referee: S Barrott
Rotherham
T T T S U
1–3
Full-time
Bristol City
U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rotherham Bristol City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Championship · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
43%
48%
Both score Ø 53%
48%
57%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

55% Possession 45%
16 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 9
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rotherham 16. · Bristol City 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 21 11 8 2 +17 41
2 Sheffield United 21 11 5 5 +16 38
3 Blackburn 22 12 0 10 -1 36
4 Preston 22 9 7 6 +1 34
5 Watford 21 9 6 6 +6 33
6 Norwich 21 9 5 7 +6 32
7 QPR 21 9 4 8 +2 31
8 Millwall 21 9 4 8 +1 31
9 Swansea 21 8 7 6 -1 31
10 Sunderland 20 8 5 7 +6 29
11 Luton 20 7 8 5 +1 29
12 Reading 21 9 2 10 -7 29
13 Birmingham 21 7 7 7 +3 28
14 Middlesbrough 20 7 6 7 +4 27
15 Coventry 18 7 5 6 +2 26
16 Rotherham 21 6 8 7 -1 26
17 Stoke 21 7 4 10 -5 25
18 Bristol City 21 6 6 9 -2 24
19 Cardiff 21 7 3 11 -8 24
20 Hull 21 7 3 11 -14 24
21 West Brom 20 5 8 7 +0 23
22 Wigan 21 6 5 10 -10 23
23 Blackpool 21 6 4 11 -9 22
24 Huddersfield 20 5 4 11 -7 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rotherham Bristol City
14′
W. Harding 1–0
own goal
2–0 C. Ogbene
B. Norton-Cuffy
25′
30′
J. Williams 2–1
Richard Wood 🟨
39′
43′
🟨 Andy King
Half-time 2–1
J. McCart 🔁
↦ R. Wood
46′
50′
🟨 Nahki Wells
53′
🔁 M. Sykes
↦ A. Weimann
60′
🟨 Cameron Pring
S. High 🔁
↦ O. Rathbone
60′
G. Kelly 🔁
↦ B. Norton-Cuffy
70′
C. Washington 🔁
↦ J. Lindsay
70′
73′
C. Pring 2–2
A. Scott
74′
🔁 A. Semenyo
↦ N. Wells
79′
🔁 S. Bell
↦ T. Conway
T. Eaves 🔁
↦ B. Wiles
87′
91′
🟨 Antoine Semenyo
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Rotherham

3-1-4-2
1 V. Johansson G
21 L. Peltier D
6 R. Wood D
2 W. Harding D
3 C. Bramall M
10 B. Norton-Cuffy M
16 J. Lindsay M
4 D. Barlaser M
18 O. Rathbone M
8 B. Wiles F
11 C. Ogbene F
Bench (7)
5 J. McCart
7 S. High
12 G. Kelly
14 C. Washington
9 T. Eaves
31 J. Vickers
22 H. Odoffin

Coach: M. Taylor

Bristol City

3-5-2
12 M. O’Leary G
16 C. Pring M
10 A. King D
6 M. James M
4 K. Naismith D
8 J. Williams M
7 A. Scott M
14 A. Weimann M
21 N. Wells F
19 G. Tanner D
15 T. Conway F
Bench (7)
17 M. Sykes
11 A. Semenyo
20 S. Bell
1 D. Bentley
5 R. Atkinson
27 D. Kadji
9 C. Martin

Coach: N. Pearson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,93
U
3,34
B ✓
2,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,02
U2,5
1,78
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Barrott · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.