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Championship
Referee: K Stroud
Millwall
T U U S T
1–1
Full-time
Wigan
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Millwall Wigan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — Championship · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
43%
48%
Both score Ø 50%
38%
62%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%
12 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Millwall 9. · Wigan 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 21 11 8 2 +17 41
2 Sheffield United 21 11 5 5 +16 38
3 Blackburn 22 12 0 10 -1 36
4 Preston 22 9 7 6 +1 34
5 Watford 21 9 6 6 +6 33
6 Norwich 21 9 5 7 +6 32
7 Reading 22 10 2 10 -6 32
8 QPR 21 9 4 8 +2 31
9 Millwall 21 9 4 8 +1 31
10 Swansea 21 8 7 6 -1 31
11 Sunderland 20 8 5 7 +6 29
12 Luton 20 7 8 5 +1 29
13 Birmingham 21 7 7 7 +3 28
14 Middlesbrough 20 7 6 7 +4 27
15 Bristol City 22 7 6 9 +0 27
16 Coventry 19 7 5 7 +1 26
17 Rotherham 22 6 8 8 -3 26
18 Stoke 21 7 4 10 -5 25
19 Cardiff 21 7 3 11 -8 24
20 Hull 21 7 3 11 -14 24
21 West Brom 20 5 8 7 +0 23
22 Wigan 21 6 5 10 -10 23
23 Blackpool 21 6 4 11 -9 22
24 Huddersfield 20 5 4 11 -7 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Millwall Wigan
Murray Wallace 🟨
14′
33′
W. Keane 0–1
C. Lang
1–1 Z. Flemming
T. Bradshaw
40′
Half-time 1–1
52′
🟨 Tendayi Darikwa
62′
🟨 Curtis Tilt
T. Burey 🔁
↦ M. Bennett
70′
G. Honeyman 🔁
↦ A. Voglsammer
70′
74′
🔁 J. Magennis
↦ N. Broadhead
80′
🔁 T. Aasgaard
↦ T. Naylor
80′
🔁 J. Cousins
↦ C. Lang
J. Shackleton 🔁
↦ G. Saville
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Millwall

4-2-3-1
1 G. Long G
4 S. Hutchinson D
3 M. Wallace D
5 J. Cooper D
2 D. McNamara D
23 G. Saville M
8 B. Mitchell M
9 T. Bradshaw F
21 A. Voglsammer M
20 M. Bennett M
10 Z. Flemming M
Bench (7)
14 T. Burey
39 G. Honeyman
16 J. Shackleton
33 B. Bialkowski
15 C. Cresswell
11 S. Malone
6 G. Evans

Coach: G. Rowett

Wigan

4-2-3-1
1 James Jones G
21 J. Bennett D
27 T. Darikwa D
5 J. Whatmough D
16 C. Tilt D
11 J. McClean M
4 T. Naylor M
8 M. Power M
10 W. Keane M
20 N. Broadhead F
19 C. Lang M
Bench (7)
28 J. Magennis
30 T. Aasgaard
6 J. Cousins
25 R. Edmonds-Green
18 G. Shinnie
7 G. Edwards
12 B. Amos

Coach: K. Touré

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,88
U ✓
3,40
B
4,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,23
U2,5 ✓
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Stroud · 147 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.