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Primeira Liga
Referee: António Nobre
Sp Lisbon
U T T S S
3–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Pacos Ferreira
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,7
0,2
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,8
This season — Primeira Liga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 31%
62%
0%
Points per game
1,9
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
77%
46%
Both score Ø 42%
46%
38%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

58% Possession 42%
15 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
4 Offside 4
18 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Lisbon 5. · Pacos Ferreira 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 13 12 1 0 +30 37
2 Porto 14 10 2 2 +26 32
3 Sp Braga 13 9 1 3 +17 28
4 Casa Pia 14 8 2 4 +4 26
5 Sp Lisbon 13 8 1 4 +11 25
6 Guimaraes 13 7 2 4 +1 23
7 Rio Ave 14 5 4 5 -2 19
8 Portimonense 14 6 1 7 -3 19
9 Chaves 13 5 4 4 -3 19
10 Arouca 14 5 4 5 -9 19
11 Boavista 13 5 2 6 -9 17
12 Estoril 13 4 4 5 -4 16
13 Vizela 13 4 3 6 -2 15
14 Santa Clara 14 3 4 7 -3 13
15 Gil Vicente 14 3 3 8 -9 12
16 Famalicao 13 3 2 8 -7 11
17 Maritimo 14 1 4 9 -19 7
18 Pacos Ferreira 13 0 2 11 -19 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Lisbon Pacos Ferreira
1–0 Pedro Porro
Nuno Santos
3′
2–0 Nuno Santos
M. Edwards
22′
24′
🟨 Erick Ferigra
30′
🟨 Nicolás Gaitán
3–0 Paulinho
Pedro Porro
45′
Half-time 3–0
63′
🔁 Adrián Butzke
↦ Rui Pires
Pedro Gonçalves 🟨
68′
Jovane Cabral 🔁
↦ M. Edwards
71′
Arthur Gomes 🔁
↦ Nuno Santos
71′
75′
🔁 Arthur Sales
↦ N. Thomas
75′
🔁 Zé Uilton
↦ Antunes
78′
🟨 Matchoi Djaló
Mateus Fernandes 🔁
↦ Pote
79′
Rodrigo Ribeiro 🔁
↦ Paulinho
79′
Dário Essugo 🟥
82′
S. Alexandropoulos 🔁
↦ Trincão
85′
85′
🔁 B. Toma
↦ N. Gaitán
85′
🔁 Jorge Silva
↦ Matchoi Djaló
90′
🟨 Jordan Holsgrove
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Sp Lisbon

3-4-2-1
1 Adán G
25 Gonçalo Inácio D
4 S. Coates D
2 Matheus Reis D
24 Pedro Porro M
28 Pote M
84 Dário Essugo M
11 Nuno Santos M
17 Trincão F
10 M. Edwards F
20 Paulinho F
Bench (9)
77 Jovane Cabral
33 Arthur Gomes
82 Mateus Fernandes
91 Rodrigo Ribeiro
6 S. Alexandropoulos
63 José Marsà
12 F. Israel
16 Rochinha
47 Ricardo Esgaio

Coach: Rúben Amorim

Pacos Ferreira

3-4-2-1
1 Jordi G
3 Nuno Lima D
32 Flávio Ramos D
23 E. Ferigra D
15 J. Delgado M
26 Rui Pires M
6 J. Holsgrove M
5 Antunes M
7 N. Thomas F
16 Matchoi Djaló F
10 N. Gaitán F
Bench (9)
17 Adrián Butzke
13 Arthur Sales
9 Zé Uilton
14 B. Toma
21 Jorge Silva
4 Pedro Ganchas
41 Mauro Couto
98 I. Vekič
29 Fernando Fonseca

Coach: Marco Paiva

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,14
U
8,08
B
20,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,46
U2,5
2,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

António Nobre · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.