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Championship
Referee: T Robinson
Sunderland
T T S T S
3–0
Full-time
Millwall
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sunderland Millwall
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — Championship · 19/20 matches
Win Ø 41%
37%
45%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
53%
40%
Both score Ø 44%
47%
40%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
11 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 10
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 8
10 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sunderland 14. · Millwall 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 21 11 8 2 +17 41
2 Sheffield United 21 11 5 5 +16 38
3 Blackburn 21 12 0 9 +2 36
4 Watford 21 9 6 6 +6 33
5 Norwich 21 9 5 7 +6 32
6 Millwall 20 9 4 7 +4 31
7 QPR 21 9 4 8 +2 31
8 Swansea 21 8 7 6 -1 31
9 Preston 21 8 7 6 -2 31
10 Luton 20 7 8 5 +1 29
11 Reading 21 9 2 10 -7 29
12 Birmingham 21 7 7 7 +3 28
13 Middlesbrough 20 7 6 7 +4 27
14 Sunderland 19 7 5 7 +3 26
15 Coventry 18 7 5 6 +2 26
16 Rotherham 21 6 8 7 -1 26
17 Stoke 21 7 4 10 -5 25
18 Bristol City 21 6 6 9 -2 24
19 Cardiff 21 7 3 11 -8 24
20 Hull 21 7 3 11 -14 24
21 West Brom 20 5 8 7 +0 23
22 Wigan 21 6 5 10 -10 23
23 Blackpool 21 6 4 11 -9 22
24 Huddersfield 20 5 4 11 -7 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sunderland Millwall
22′
🟨 George Saville
34′
🟨 George Honeyman
41′
🟨 Billy Mitchell
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Diallo
E. Simms
53′
2–0 A. Pritchard
L. Gooch
58′
E. Embleton 🔁
↦ A. Pritchard
63′
66′
🔁 M. Bennett
↦ A. Voglsammer
66′
🔁 C. Styles
↦ G. Honeyman
66′
🔁 J. Shackleton
↦ G. Saville
Lynden Gooch 🟨
73′
P. Roberts 🔁
↦ A. Diallo
74′
D. Cirkin 🔁
↦ J. Clarke
80′
82′
🔁 S. Malone
↦ M. Wallace
82′
🔁 G. Evans
↦ D. McNamara
3–0 E. Simms
A. Patterson
93′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Sunderland

4-2-3-1
1 A. Patterson G
11 L. Gooch D
13 L. O'Nien D
6 D. Batth D
42 A. Alese D
4 C. Evans M
24 D. Neil M
16 A. Diallo M
21 A. Pritchard M
20 J. Clarke M
9 E. Simms F
Bench (7)
8 E. Embleton
10 P. Roberts
3 D. Cirkin
17 A. Ba
7 L. Dajaku
32 T. Hume
12 A. Bass

Coach: T. Mowbray

Millwall

4-2-3-1
1 G. Long G
2 D. McNamara D
15 C. Cresswell D
5 J. Cooper D
3 M. Wallace D
8 B. Mitchell M
23 G. Saville M
21 A. Voglsammer M
10 Z. Flemming M
39 G. Honeyman M
9 T. Bradshaw F
Bench (7)
20 M. Bennett
17 C. Styles
16 J. Shackleton
11 S. Malone
6 G. Evans
33 B. Bialkowski
4 S. Hutchinson

Coach: G. Rowett

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,54
U
3,22
B
2,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,18
U2,5
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Robinson · 200 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.