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Championship
Referee: G Eltringham
Bristol City
T U T U S
1–2
Full-time
Stoke
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Stoke
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Championship · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 32%
32%
32%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
50%
41%
Both score Ø 50%
59%
41%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bristol City 15. · Stoke 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 22 12 8 2 +20 44
2 Sheffield United 22 12 5 5 +17 41
3 Blackburn 22 12 0 10 -1 36
4 Norwich 22 10 5 7 +7 35
5 Watford 22 9 7 6 +6 34
6 Preston 22 9 7 6 +1 34
7 Birmingham 23 8 8 7 +4 32
8 Millwall 22 9 5 8 +1 32
9 Reading 23 10 2 11 -7 32
10 QPR 22 9 4 9 -1 31
11 Swansea 22 8 7 7 -2 31
12 Middlesbrough 21 8 6 7 +5 30
13 Sunderland 21 8 5 8 +5 29
14 Luton 21 7 8 6 +0 29
15 Bristol City 22 7 6 9 +0 27
16 West Brom 21 6 8 7 +1 26
17 Coventry 19 7 5 7 +1 26
18 Rotherham 22 6 8 8 -3 26
19 Stoke 22 7 5 10 -5 26
20 Cardiff 22 7 4 11 -8 25
21 Hull 22 7 4 11 -14 25
22 Wigan 22 6 6 10 -10 24
23 Blackpool 22 6 5 11 -9 23
24 Huddersfield 21 5 4 12 -8 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bristol City Stoke
1–0 N. Wells
C. Pring
33′
Half-time 1–1
47′
L. Delap 1–1
57′
J. Brown 1–2
A. Semenyo 🔁
↦ T. Conway
60′
61′
🟨 Liam Delap
70′
🔁 N. Powell
↦ L. Delap
M. Sykes 🔁
↦ J. Williams
75′
Andreas Weimann 🟨
76′
C. Martin 🔁
↦ A. King
82′
83′
🟨 Jack Bonham
84′
🟨 Nick Powell
Antoine Semenyo 🟨
89′
Cameron Pring 🟨
95′
96′
🟨 Tyrese Campbell
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Bristol City

4-4-2
12 M. O’Leary G
26 Z. Vyner D
10 A. King D
4 K. Naismith D
16 C. Pring D
14 A. Weimann M
8 J. Williams M
6 M. James M
7 A. Scott M
21 N. Wells F
15 T. Conway F
Bench (7)
11 A. Semenyo
17 M. Sykes
9 C. Martin
1 D. Bentley
20 S. Bell
3 J. Dasilva
19 G. Tanner

Coach: N. Pearson

Stoke

3-5-2
13 J. Bonham G
5 H. Souttar D
6 P. Jagielka D
3 M. Fox D
9 J. Brown M
8 L. Baker M
15 J. Thompson M
18 W. Smallbone M
14 J. Tymon M
17 L. Delap F
10 T. Campbell F
Bench (7)
25 N. Powell
4 A. Flint
37 E. Tezgel
24 T. Fosu
22 G. Kilkenny
32 C. Taylor
1 J. Bursik

Coach: A. Neil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,53
U
3,35
B ✓
2,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,98
U2,5
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Eltringham · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.