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LaLiga2

Malaga

U T S T T

2–0

Full-time

Vallecano

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,2

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 40%

32%

48%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

40%

44%

Both score Ø 44%

48%

40%

Average goals

2,2

2,1

Scored

0,9

1,2

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

12 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 5

2 Corners 7

12 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malaga 15. · Vallecano 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	26	16	6	4	+23	54
2	Espanol	26	16	4	6	+22	52
3	Almeria	26	15	4	7	+14	49
4	Leganes	26	15	4	7	+11	49
5	Sp Gijon	26	13	7	6	+10	46
6	Vallecano	25	12	5	8	+7	41
7	Ponferradina	26	12	4	10	+0	40
8	Mirandes	26	10	7	9	+4	37
9	Girona	26	10	7	9	-2	37
10	Las Palmas	26	9	8	9	-5	35
11	Fuenlabrada	25	7	12	6	+0	33
12	Lugo	26	8	9	9	-1	33
13	Tenerife	26	9	6	11	-2	33
14	Oviedo	25	7	10	8	+2	31
15	Malaga	25	8	7	10	-10	31
16	Logrones	26	8	6	12	-13	30
17	Sabadell	26	6	8	12	-7	26
18	Zaragoza	25	6	7	12	-6	25
19	Cartagena	26	6	7	13	-10	25
20	Alcorcon	25	6	6	13	-9	24
21	Albacete	26	6	6	14	-15	24
22	Castellon	26	6	4	16	-13	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leganes	14	12	0	2	+13	36
2	Espanol	13	10	1	2	+15	31
3	Sp Gijon	13	8	5	0	+10	29
4	Almeria	13	8	3	2	+13	27
5	Mallorca	14	8	2	4	+13	26
6	Las Palmas	13	8	2	3	+6	26
7	Vallecano	12	8	1	3	+9	25
8	Ponferradina	13	7	3	3	+4	24
9	Lugo	13	6	5	2	+6	23
10	Tenerife	13	6	4	3	+7	22
11	Girona	13	6	3	4	+2	21
12	Zaragoza	12	5	4	3	+3	19
13	Mirandes	13	4	6	3	+2	18
14	Oviedo	13	4	5	4	+4	17
15	Logrones	12	5	2	5	-4	17
16	Alcorcon	13	5	1	7	-4	16
17	Cartagena	13	4	3	6	+0	15
18	Castellon	13	5	0	8	+0	15
19	Fuenlabrada	12	2	8	2	+0	14
20	Albacete	13	3	4	6	-4	13
21	Sabadell	13	2	5	6	-4	11
22	Malaga	12	2	5	5	-6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	12	8	4	0	+10	28
2	Almeria	13	7	1	5	+1	22
3	Espanol	13	6	3	4	+7	21
4	Malaga	13	6	2	5	-4	20
5	Mirandes	13	6	1	6	+2	19
6	Fuenlabrada	13	5	4	4	+0	19
7	Sp Gijon	13	5	2	6	+0	17
8	Vallecano	13	4	4	5	-2	16
9	Girona	13	4	4	5	-4	16
10	Ponferradina	13	5	1	7	-4	16
11	Sabadell	13	4	3	6	-3	15
12	Oviedo	12	3	5	4	-2	14
13	Leganes	12	3	4	5	-2	13
14	Logrones	14	3	4	7	-9	13
15	Tenerife	13	3	2	8	-9	11
16	Albacete	13	3	2	8	-11	11
17	Lugo	13	2	4	7	-7	10
18	Cartagena	13	2	4	7	-10	10
19	Las Palmas	13	1	6	6	-11	9
20	Alcorcon	12	1	5	6	-5	8
21	Castellon	13	1	4	8	-13	7
22	Zaragoza	13	1	3	9	-9	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.