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Super League

Referee: A Jaccottet

Xamax

T U T S U

2–1

Full-time

Thun

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Xamax Thun

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

This season — Super League · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 18%

13%

22%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

48%

57%

Both score Ø 61%

70%

52%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

21 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Xamax 9. · Thun 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	24	14	6	4	+16	48
2	St. Gallen	23	14	3	6	+20	45
3	Basel	23	12	4	7	+24	40
4	Servette	23	10	7	6	+15	37
5	Zurich	24	9	5	10	-18	32
6	Luzern	23	9	4	10	-5	31
7	Lugano	23	6	8	9	-3	26
8	Sion	23	6	5	12	-13	23
9	Xamax	23	3	10	10	-13	19
10	Thun	23	5	4	14	-23	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	12	10	2	0	+18	32
2	Basel	12	7	2	3	+16	23
3	St. Gallen	12	7	2	3	+11	23
4	Servette	11	6	3	2	+10	21
5	Luzern	11	5	2	4	+0	17
6	Zurich	12	5	2	5	-9	17
7	Sion	11	3	3	5	-3	12
8	Lugano	12	2	6	4	-5	12
9	Thun	12	2	3	7	-13	9
10	Xamax	11	1	3	7	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gallen	11	7	1	3	+9	22
2	Basel	11	5	2	4	+8	17
3	Servette	12	4	4	4	+5	16
4	Young Boys	12	4	4	4	-2	16
5	Zurich	12	4	3	5	-9	15
6	Lugano	11	4	2	5	+2	14
7	Luzern	12	4	2	6	-5	14
8	Xamax	12	2	7	3	-5	13
9	Sion	12	3	2	7	-10	11
10	Thun	11	3	1	7	-10	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.