Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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FC Koln
Ein Frankfurt
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | +62 | 76 |
| 2 |
Dortmund
|
32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | +45 | 66 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
32 | 17 | 12 | 3 | +45 | 63 |
| 4 |
Leverkusen
|
32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | +18 | 60 |
| 5 |
M'gladbach
|
32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | +23 | 59 |
| 6 |
Wolfsburg
|
32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | +3 | 46 |
| 7 |
Hoffenheim
|
32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | -8 | 46 |
| 8 |
Freiburg
|
32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | -1 | 45 |
| 9 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | -2 | 41 |
| 10 |
Schalke 04
|
32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | -13 | 39 |
| 11 |
Hertha
|
32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -12 | 38 |
| 12 |
Union Berlin
|
32 | 11 | 5 | 16 | -16 | 38 |
| 13 |
FC Koln
|
32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | -13 | 35 |
| 14 |
Augsburg
|
32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | -17 | 35 |
| 15 |
Mainz
|
32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | -22 | 34 |
| 16 |
Fortuna Dusseldorf
|
32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -28 | 29 |
| 17 |
Werder Bremen
|
32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -30 | 28 |
| 18 |
Paderborn
|
32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | -34 | 20 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Leverkusen
FC Koln
FC Koln
Union Berlin
Augsburg
FC Koln
FC Koln
RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim
FC Koln
C Dingert · 108 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.