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Bundesliga
Referee: S Ebner
Mattersburg
U S U T T
2–0
Full-time
St. Polten
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mattersburg St. Polten
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 21%
22%
19%
Points per game
0,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
63%
67%
Both score Ø 52%
63%
41%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
2,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
10 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
3 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 24
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mattersburg 12. · St. Polten 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 27 18 7 2 +62 61
2 LASK 27 18 4 5 +30 58
3 SK Rapid 27 15 7 5 +26 52
4 Wolfsberger AC 27 12 7 8 +21 43
5 Austria Vienna 27 8 11 8 +0 35
6 Sturm Graz 27 10 5 12 -3 35
7 Hartberg 27 10 5 12 -19 35
8 Altach 27 9 6 12 -6 33
9 Tirol 27 6 6 15 -27 24
10 St. Polten 27 5 9 13 -32 24
11 Admira 27 5 8 14 -24 23
12 Mattersburg 27 6 5 16 -28 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mattersburg St. Polten
A. Gruber 🟨
4′
F. Hart 🔁
↦ P. Burger
41′
1–0 A. Gruber
A. Kuen
44′
Half-time 1–0
55′
🟨 A. Carius
64′
🔁 N. Gorzel
↦ N. Meister
T. Mahrer 🟨
69′
76′
🔁 I. Ouedraogo
↦ G. Davies
77′
🔁 D. Hofbauer
↦ S. Ingolitsch
A. Holler 🔁
↦ M. Pusic
77′
P. Burger 🟨
78′
2–0 M. Pusic
87′
88′
🟨 Luan
A. Kuen 🔁
↦ N. Pichler
91′
A. Gruber 🔁
↦ M. Steinwender
91′
P. Salomon 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Mattersburg

3-4-3
1 Markus Kuster G
31 Thorsten Mahrer D
10 Jano D
18 Lukas Rath D
21 Patrick Salomon M
12 Florian Hart M
6 Philipp Erhardt M
5 Michael Lercher M
8 Alois Höller F
30 Andreas Kuen F
11 Andreas Gruber F
Bench (7)
13 Tino Casali
3 Michael Steinwender
24 Stephen Schimandl
15 Nico Pichler
16 Luca Pichler
33 Patrick Bürger
19 Martin Pušić

Coach: F. Ponweiser

St. Polten

3-5-2
1 Christoph Riegler G
14 Christoph Klarer D
3 Luan D
17 Ahmet Muhamedbegović D
18 Martin Rasner M
31 Nico Gorzel M
4 Dominik Hofbauer M
39 Robert Ljubičić M
21 Kofi Schulz M
77 Alan Cariús F
33 Issiaka Ouedraogo F
Bench (7)
23 Kilian Kretschmer
29 Daniel Drescher
22 Sandro Ingolitsch
11 George Davies
20 Daniel Schutz
38 Christoph Messerer
7 Nicolas Meister

Coach: A. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Ebner · 100 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.