Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Wisla Plock
Arka Gdynia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Legia
|
30 | 19 | 3 | 8 | +33 | 60 |
| 2 |
Piast Gliwice
|
30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | +10 | 53 |
| 3 |
Lech Poznan
|
30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +26 | 49 |
| 4 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +9 | 49 |
| 5 |
Cracovia
|
30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | +10 | 46 |
| 6 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 44 |
| 8 |
Jagiellonia
|
30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | +2 | 44 |
| 9 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | -2 | 43 |
| 10 |
Zaglebie
|
31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | +4 | 41 |
| 11 |
Rakow
|
30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -5 | 41 |
| 12 |
Wisla Plock
|
30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | -13 | 38 |
| 13 |
Wisla
|
30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 35 |
| 14 |
Korona Kielce
|
31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | -17 | 30 |
| 15 |
Arka Gdynia
|
30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | -19 | 29 |
| 16 |
LKS Lodz
|
31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -28 | 21 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Cracovia
Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock
Slask Wroclaw
Jagiellonia
Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock
Korona Kielce
Arka Gdynia
Wisla Plock
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.