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La Liga

Referee: Pablo González

Ath Madrid

S U U U S

1–0

Full-time

Valladolid

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,5

This season — La Liga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 33%

41%

24%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

28%

31%

Both score Ø 45%

45%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,3

0,9

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%

15 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 1

4 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 4. · Valladolid 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	30	20	5	5	+38	65
2	Real Madrid	29	18	8	3	+35	62
3	Sevilla	30	14	10	6	+12	52
4	Ath Madrid	29	12	13	4	+15	49
5	Getafe	30	13	9	8	+11	48
6	Sociedad	29	14	5	10	+10	47
7	Villarreal	30	14	5	11	+9	47
8	Valencia	29	11	10	8	-4	43
9	Ath Bilbao	30	10	12	8	+7	42
10	Granada	30	12	6	12	+1	42
11	Levante	30	11	5	14	-6	38
12	Alaves	29	9	8	12	-8	35
13	Osasuna	29	8	11	10	-9	35
14	Betis	30	8	10	12	-8	34
15	Valladolid	29	7	12	10	-9	33
16	Eibar	30	7	8	15	-16	29
17	Celta	29	5	12	12	-13	27
18	Mallorca	30	7	5	18	-21	26
19	Leganes	30	5	9	16	-21	24
20	Espanol	30	5	9	16	-23	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	14	1	0	+35	43
2	Real Madrid	15	11	4	0	+23	37
3	Valencia	15	8	7	0	+11	31
4	Ath Madrid	14	8	5	1	+11	29
5	Granada	15	9	2	4	+8	29
6	Ath Bilbao	15	8	4	3	+9	28
7	Sociedad	14	8	3	3	+15	27
8	Getafe	16	7	6	3	+8	27
9	Sevilla	15	7	6	2	+8	27
10	Alaves	15	7	5	3	+9	26
11	Villarreal	14	7	4	3	+10	25
12	Levante	14	7	4	3	+7	25
13	Betis	15	7	4	4	+6	25
14	Mallorca	16	6	3	7	-2	21
15	Eibar	15	6	2	7	-1	20
16	Osasuna	15	5	5	5	-5	20
17	Valladolid	14	3	8	3	+1	17
18	Celta	14	4	5	5	-3	17
19	Leganes	15	4	3	8	-7	15
20	Espanol	15	2	5	8	-12	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	14	7	4	3	+12	25
2	Sevilla	15	7	4	4	+4	25
3	Barcelona	15	6	4	5	+3	22
4	Villarreal	16	7	1	8	-1	22
5	Getafe	14	6	3	5	+3	21
6	Ath Madrid	15	4	8	3	+4	20
7	Sociedad	15	6	2	7	-5	20
8	Valladolid	15	4	4	7	-10	16
9	Osasuna	14	3	6	5	-4	15
10	Ath Bilbao	15	2	8	5	-2	14
11	Granada	15	3	4	8	-7	13
12	Espanol	15	3	4	8	-11	13
13	Levante	16	4	1	11	-13	13
14	Valencia	14	3	3	8	-15	12
15	Celta	15	1	7	7	-10	10
16	Betis	15	1	6	8	-14	9
17	Leganes	15	1	6	8	-14	9
18	Eibar	15	1	6	8	-15	9
19	Alaves	14	2	3	9	-17	9
20	Mallorca	14	1	2	11	-19	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.