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LaLiga2
Malaga
U S U U U
1–0
Full-time
Ponferradina
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Ponferradina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 25%
18%
32%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
18%
32%
Both score Ø 50%
41%
59%
Average goals
1,7
2,4
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

6 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
2 Corners 2
21 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 16. · Ponferradina 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 22 13 5 4 +12 44
2 Almeria 22 10 9 3 +17 39
3 Zaragoza 22 10 6 6 +9 36
4 Huesca 22 11 3 8 +7 36
5 Fuenlabrada 23 9 9 5 +5 36
6 Las Palmas 22 9 6 7 +2 33
7 Numancia 22 8 8 6 +4 32
8 Elche 23 8 8 7 +3 32
9 Mirandes 22 8 8 6 -1 32
10 Ponferradina 22 7 10 5 +5 31
11 Girona 22 9 4 9 +0 31
12 Vallecano 21 6 10 5 +4 28
13 Alcorcon 22 6 10 6 -1 28
14 Sp Gijon 23 7 7 9 -2 28
15 Albacete 22 8 4 10 -9 28
16 Malaga 22 4 11 7 -2 23
17 Oviedo 22 5 8 9 -6 23
18 Tenerife 22 5 7 10 -4 22
19 Extremadura UD 22 5 7 10 -9 22
20 Lugo 22 4 10 8 -12 22
21 Santander 22 2 13 7 -5 19
22 La Coruna 22 3 9 10 -17 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Nov -19 Ponferradina – Malaga 1–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,05
U
3,04
B
3,99
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,40
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.