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Ligue 2

Referee: M Leleu

Paris FC

T S S S T

1–0

Full-time

Troyes

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris FC Troyes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 46%

57%

35%

Points per game

1,9

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

48%

57%

Both score Ø 33%

43%

22%

Average goals

2,4

2,1

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

70% Possession 30%

9 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris FC 3. · Troyes 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	23	15	4	4	+19	49
2	Metz	23	12	8	3	+21	44
3	Paris FC	23	13	4	6	+14	43
4	Dunkerque	23	13	3	7	+8	42
5	Annecy	23	11	6	6	+3	39
6	Guingamp	23	12	2	9	+10	38
7	Laval	23	9	7	7	+7	34
8	Grenoble	23	10	4	9	+2	34
9	Bastia	23	6	13	4	+6	31
10	Pau FC	23	7	8	8	-6	29
11	Amiens	23	9	2	12	-11	29
12	Troyes	23	8	3	12	-1	27
13	Ajaccio	23	8	3	12	-9	27
14	Rodez	23	7	5	11	+0	26
15	Red Star	23	7	5	11	-15	26
16	Clermont	23	6	7	10	-7	25
17	Martigues	23	5	3	15	-25	18
18	Caen	23	4	3	16	-16	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	11	10	1	0	+19	31
2	Metz	12	8	4	0	+18	28
3	Dunkerque	12	9	0	3	+8	27
4	Grenoble	12	7	3	2	+8	24
5	Paris FC	11	7	2	2	+9	23
6	Amiens	12	7	2	3	+2	23
7	Annecy	11	7	1	3	+5	22
8	Guingamp	12	6	2	4	+10	20
9	Ajaccio	12	6	2	4	+3	20
10	Bastia	11	4	7	0	+8	19
11	Pau FC	11	5	4	2	+2	19
12	Laval	11	5	3	3	+4	18
13	Troyes	11	4	2	5	+2	14
14	Red Star	11	4	2	5	-6	14
15	Rodez	11	4	1	6	-3	13
16	Clermont	12	2	6	4	+0	12
17	Caen	12	3	2	7	-5	11
18	Martigues	12	1	1	10	-15	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	12	6	2	4	+5	20
2	Guingamp	11	6	0	5	+0	18
3	Lorient	12	5	3	4	+0	18
4	Annecy	12	4	5	3	-2	17
5	Laval	12	4	4	4	+3	16
6	Metz	11	4	4	3	+3	16
7	Dunkerque	11	4	3	4	+0	15
8	Martigues	11	4	2	5	-10	14
9	Rodez	12	3	4	5	+3	13
10	Troyes	12	4	1	7	-3	13
11	Clermont	11	4	1	6	-7	13
12	Bastia	12	2	6	4	-2	12
13	Red Star	12	3	3	6	-9	12
14	Grenoble	11	3	1	7	-6	10
15	Pau FC	12	2	4	6	-8	10
16	Ajaccio	11	2	1	8	-12	7
17	Amiens	11	2	0	9	-13	6
18	Caen	11	1	1	9	-11	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.