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Ligue 2
Referee: G Kubler
Troyes
U T T S T
0–3
Full-time
Paris FC
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Paris FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
13%
75%
Points per game
0,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
38%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
0,5
1,8
Conceded
1,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Troyes 18. · Paris FC 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 9 6 1 2 +8 19
2 Paris FC 8 6 0 2 +7 18
3 Grenoble 9 5 1 3 +7 16
4 Dunkerque 9 5 1 3 +1 16
5 Metz 9 4 3 2 +7 15
6 Annecy 9 4 3 2 +3 15
7 Amiens 9 5 0 4 +2 15
8 Laval 9 4 2 3 +5 14
9 Pau FC 8 4 2 2 +3 14
10 Bastia 8 3 4 1 +2 13
11 Guingamp 9 4 1 4 +1 13
12 Ajaccio 9 3 2 4 -3 11
13 Rodez 9 3 0 6 -2 9
14 Clermont 9 2 3 4 -2 9
15 Caen 9 2 2 5 -6 8
16 Red Star 9 2 2 5 -8 8
17 Martigues 9 1 2 6 -15 5
18 Troyes 8 1 1 6 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Troyes Paris FC
19′
J. Krasso 0–1
40′
J. Krasso 0–2
A. Gory
Half-time 0–2
K. Dong 🔁
↦ T. Baldé
46′
Ismaël Boura 🟨
57′
58′
Ilan Kebbal
penalty missed
59′
🟨 Maxime López
R. Ripart 🔁
↦ P. Ba
68′
Houboulang Mendes 🔁
↦ P. Gozzi
68′
Y. M'Changama 🔁
↦ M. Adeline
68′
70′
🔁 V. Marchetti
↦ L. Doucet
70′
🔁 J. López
↦ J. Krasso
70′
🔁 P. Hamel
↦ A. Gory
73′
I. Kebbal 0–3
V. Marchetti
J. Assoumou 🔁
↦ C. Irié
77′
80′
🔁 N. Dicko
↦ A. Camara
80′
🔁 A. Soumahoro
↦ M. Lopez
88′
🟨 Aboubaka Soumahoro
92′
🟨 Pierre-Yves Hamel
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Troyes

5-4-1
1 Z. Boucher G
18 T. Baldé D
4 J. Diaz D
6 A. Monfray D
23 P. Gozzi D
14 I. Boura D
21 C. Irié M
24 M. Adeline M
19 J. Nonge Boende M
11 R. Saïd M
25 P. Ba F
Bench (7)
27 K. Dong
20 R. Ripart
17 Houboulang Mendes
10 Y. M'Changama
15 J. Assoumou
16 N. Lemaître
28 R. Fage

Coach: S. Dumont

Paris FC

4-3-1-2
16 O. Nkambadio G
39 M. Tourraine D
5 M. Mbow D
15 T. Kolodziejczak D
27 J. Gaudin D
8 L. Doucet M
21 M. Lopez M
17 A. Camara M
10 I. Kebbal M
11 J. Krasso F
7 A. Gory F
Bench (7)
4 V. Marchetti
20 J. López
29 P. Hamel
12 N. Dicko
6 A. Soumahoro
19 M. Kanté
1 R. Riou

Coach: S. Gilli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,88
U
3,49
B ✓
1,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Kubler · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.