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Champions League
Referee: G Nyberg
Paris SG
U S T U S
1–1
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,5
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,43 xG 0,25
61% Possession 39%
26 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
14 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Paris SG PSV Eindhoven
34′
N. Lang 0–1
I. Saibari
Nuno Mendes 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
47′
🟨 Mauro Júnior
1–1 A. Hakimi
Fabián Ruiz
55′
Vitinha 🔁
↦ Fabián Ruiz
59′
65′
🔁 C. Driouech
↦ N. Lang
Marco Asensio 🔁
↦ Lee Kang-In
68′
77′
🟨 Matteo Dams
R. Kolo Muani 🔁
↦ B. Barcola
81′
D. Doué 🔁
↦ O. Dembélé
81′
S. Mayulu 🔁
↦ W. Zaïre-Emery
81′
84′
🔁 I. Babadi
↦ J. Bakayoko
84′
🔁 R. Ledezma
↦ I. Saibari
91′
🟨 Richard Ledezma
92′
🟨 Isaac Babadi
Marco Asensio ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
94′
96′
🟨 Walter Benítez
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
1 G. Donnarumma G
2 A. Hakimi D
5 Marquinhos D
51 W. Pacho D
25 Nuno Mendes D
33 W. Zaïre-Emery M
87 João Neves M
8 Fabián Ruiz M
10 O. Dembélé F
19 Lee Kang-In F
29 B. Barcola F
Bench (10)
17 Vitinha
11 Marco Asensio
23 R. Kolo Muani
14 D. Doué
24 S. Mayulu
39 M. Safonov
42 Y. Zague
80 Arnau Tenas
37 M. Škriniar
35 Beraldo

Coach: Luis Enrique

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
1 W. Benítez G
17 Mauro Júnior D
6 R. Flamingo D
18 O. Boscagli D
32 M. Dams D
7 M. Tillman M
34 I. Saibari M
11 J. Bakayoko M
20 G. Til M
10 N. Lang M
9 L. de Jong F
Bench (10)
21 C. Driouech
26 I. Babadi
37 R. Ledezma
35 F. Oppegård
39 A. Nagalo
28 T. Land
24 N. Schiks
14 R. Pepi
16 J. Drommel
4 A. Obispo

Coach: P. Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.