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Ligue 2
Referee: G Angoula
Le Havre
S U S U S
1–0
Full-time
Rodez
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Havre Rodez
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 43%
55%
30%
Points per game
2,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
27%
36%
Both score Ø 44%
39%
48%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
25 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Le Havre 1. · Rodez 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 33 18 14 1 +28 68
2 Bordeaux 34 19 8 7 +22 65
3 Metz 34 17 11 6 +25 62
4 Bastia 34 15 8 11 +3 53
5 Sochaux 34 15 7 12 +18 52
6 Caen 34 14 10 10 +6 52
7 Grenoble 34 14 8 12 +1 50
8 St Etienne 34 13 10 11 +3 49
9 Quevilly Rouen 34 12 12 10 +2 48
10 Paris FC 34 13 8 13 +0 47
11 Guingamp 34 12 9 13 +0 45
12 Amiens 34 12 8 14 -8 44
13 Rodez 33 10 11 12 -4 41
14 Pau FC 34 10 10 14 -10 40
15 Valenciennes 34 8 14 12 -8 38
16 Annecy 34 9 11 14 -13 38
17 Laval 34 11 4 19 -13 37
18 Dijon 34 8 11 15 -8 35
19 Nimes 34 9 6 19 -15 33
20 Niort 34 7 6 21 -29 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Le Havre Rodez
40′
🟨 Abdel Hakim Abdallah
Half-time 0–0
J. Thiaré 🔁
↦ S. Grandsir
57′
N. Chadli 🔁
↦ A. Joujou
71′
71′
🔁 C. Dépres
↦ S. Soumano
71′
🔁 A. Valério
↦ L. Rajot
81′
🔁 L. Torres
↦ A. Abdallah
82′
🔁 M. Adeline
↦ R. Boissier
E. Mahmoud 🔁
↦ J. Casimir
84′
Y. Kitala 🔁
↦ N. Alioui
84′
88′
🔁 L. Buadés
↦ M. Senaya
0–1 A. Valério
own goal
88′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Le Havre

4-3-3
30 A. Desmas G
17 O. El Hajjam D
93 A. Sangante D
4 G. Lloris D
27 C. Opéri D
29 S. Grandsir M
22 V. Lekhal M
5 O. Targhalline M
21 A. Joujou F
23 J. Casimir F
10 N. Alioui F
Bench (7)
14 J. Thiaré
3 N. Chadli
28 E. Mahmoud
9 Y. Kitala
18 N. Mbemba
92 E. Kinkoue
1 M. Gorgelin

Coach: L. Elsner

Rodez

3-5-2
16 L. Mpasi G
14 B. Danger D
2 É. Vandenabeele D
15 S. Raux-Yao D
20 M. Senaya M
26 W. Younoussa M
6 R. Boissier M
8 L. Rajot M
28 A. Abdallah M
35 S. Soumano F
12 K. Corredor F
Bench (7)
25 C. Dépres
18 A. Valério
29 L. Torres
10 M. Adeline
19 L. Buadés
11 Joseph Mendes
1 S. Cibois

Coach: D. Santini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,59
U
3,68
B
5,87
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,22
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Angoula · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.