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Ligue 2

Pau FC

U S T U T

0–3

Full-time

Toulouse

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,8

Scored

0,7

2,5

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 35%

19%

50%

Points per game

0,9

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

38%

56%

Both score Ø 44%

31%

56%

Average goals

2,1

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,9

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

8 Shots 20

1 Shots on target 9

4 Corners 7

11 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pau FC 17. · Toulouse 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	16	10	4	2	+13	34
2	Grenoble	16	9	4	3	+13	31
3	Toulouse	16	8	5	3	+10	29
4	Auxerre	16	8	4	4	+14	28
5	Paris FC	16	8	4	4	+6	28
6	Clermont	16	7	6	3	+11	27
7	Caen	16	7	5	4	+2	26
8	Niort	16	7	3	6	-4	24
9	Amiens	16	6	4	6	+2	22
10	Sochaux	16	4	9	3	+4	21
11	Valenciennes	16	5	6	5	-1	21
12	Dunkerque	16	6	2	8	-4	20
13	Le Havre	16	5	4	7	-7	19
14	Ajaccio	16	4	5	7	-10	17
15	Guingamp	16	3	7	6	-5	16
16	Chambly	16	3	6	7	-9	15
17	Pau FC	16	3	5	8	-7	14
18	Nancy	16	3	4	9	-7	13
19	Chateauroux	16	3	4	9	-10	13
20	Rodez	16	2	7	7	-11	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	8	6	2	0	+8	20
2	Auxerre	9	6	1	2	+14	19
3	Grenoble	7	6	1	0	+12	19
4	Caen	8	4	4	0	+4	16
5	Clermont	8	4	3	1	+7	15
6	Niort	8	4	3	1	+6	15
7	Toulouse	9	4	3	2	+5	15
8	Paris FC	8	4	2	2	+2	14
9	Sochaux	8	3	3	2	+3	12
10	Valenciennes	8	3	3	2	+1	12
11	Amiens	8	3	3	2	+1	12
12	Dunkerque	8	3	2	3	+1	11
13	Chambly	9	3	1	5	-4	10
14	Pau FC	7	2	3	2	+1	9
15	Le Havre	7	2	3	2	+0	9
16	Guingamp	8	2	3	3	-1	9
17	Rodez	9	2	3	4	-4	9
18	Ajaccio	8	2	3	3	-4	9
19	Nancy	7	2	2	3	-2	8
20	Chateauroux	8	2	1	5	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	7	4	2	1	+5	14
2	Troyes	8	4	2	2	+5	14
3	Paris FC	8	4	2	2	+4	14
4	Clermont	8	3	3	2	+4	12
5	Grenoble	9	3	3	3	+1	12
6	Amiens	8	3	1	4	+1	10
7	Caen	8	3	1	4	-2	10
8	Le Havre	9	3	1	5	-7	10
9	Sochaux	8	1	6	1	+1	9
10	Auxerre	7	2	3	2	+0	9
11	Valenciennes	8	2	3	3	-2	9
12	Dunkerque	8	3	0	5	-5	9
13	Niort	8	3	0	5	-10	9
14	Ajaccio	8	2	2	4	-6	8
15	Guingamp	8	1	4	3	-4	7
16	Chateauroux	8	1	3	4	-4	6
17	Chambly	7	0	5	2	-5	5
18	Nancy	9	1	2	6	-5	5
19	Pau FC	9	1	2	6	-8	5
20	Rodez	7	0	4	3	-7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.