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2. Bundesliga
Referee: S Waschitzki
Nurnberg
T S T S U
0–1
Full-time
Darmstadt
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Darmstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 46%
32%
60%
Points per game
1,2
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
44%
40%
Both score Ø 42%
32%
52%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
10 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nurnberg 12. · Darmstadt 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 25 15 7 3 +19 52
2 Heidenheim 25 14 8 3 +23 50
3 Hamburg 25 15 4 6 +16 49
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 25 13 3 9 +11 42
5 St Pauli 25 11 8 6 +11 41
6 Paderborn 25 12 4 9 +17 40
7 Kaiserslautern 25 10 9 6 +5 39
8 Holstein Kiel 25 8 10 7 +1 34
9 Karlsruhe 25 10 4 11 +1 34
10 Hannover 25 8 7 10 +0 31
11 Greuther Furth 25 7 9 9 -4 30
12 Nurnberg 25 8 5 12 -15 29
13 Magdeburg 25 8 4 13 -14 28
14 Regensburg 25 7 5 13 -15 26
15 Bielefeld 25 7 4 14 -5 25
16 Braunschweig 25 6 7 12 -13 25
17 Hansa Rostock 25 7 4 14 -16 25
18 Sandhausen 25 5 6 14 -22 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nurnberg Darmstadt
31′
C. Schindler 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Fabian Holland
70′
🔁 O. Vilhelmsson
↦ F. Stojilković
71′
🔁 B. Manu
↦ P. Tietz
B. Goller 🔁
↦ T. Duman
72′
75′
🔁 K. Bennetts
↦ E. Karic
77′
🟨 Marvin Mehlem
79′
🟨 Clemens Riedel
C. Daferner 🔁
↦ J. Gyamerah
79′
F. Flick 🔁
↦ N. Brown
79′
82′
🔁 T. Isherwood
↦ F. Schnellhardt
82′
🔁 K. Gjasula
↦ F. Holland
Kwadwo Duah 🟨
83′
E. Shuranov 🔁
↦ K. Duah
85′
D. Blum 🔁
↦ F. Nürnberger
85′
89′
🟨 Braydon Manu
93′
🟨 Oscar Vilhelmsson
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Nurnberg

4-1-4-1
30 P. Vindahl G
28 J. Gyamerah D
19 F. Hübner D
16 C. Schindler D
35 N. Brown D
5 J. Geis M
8 T. Duman M
10 M. Dæhli M
6 L. Tempelmann M
15 F. Nürnberger M
23 K. Duah F
Bench (9)
14 B. Goller
33 C. Daferner
21 F. Flick
11 E. Shuranov
9 D. Blum
38 J. Horn
29 T. Handwerker
1 C. Klaus
17 J. Castrop

Coach: D. Hecking

Darmstadt

3-4-1-2
1 M. Schuhen G
38 C. Riedel D
4 C. Zimmermann D
20 J. Müller D
26 M. Bader M
8 F. Schnellhardt M
32 F. Holland M
19 E. Karic M
6 M. Mehlem F
9 P. Tietz F
40 F. Stojilković F
Bench (9)
29 O. Vilhelmsson
7 B. Manu
16 K. Bennetts
3 T. Isherwood
23 K. Gjasula
14 M. Warming
22 A. Seydel
30 A. Brunst
42 F. Torsiello

Coach: T. Lieberknecht

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,44
U
3,30
B ✓
2,14
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,11
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Waschitzki · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.