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Championship
Referee: J Smith
Bristol City
U S U T T
2–1
Full-time
Rotherham
U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Rotherham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Championship · 43/42 matches
Win Ø 27%
30%
24%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
37%
48%
Both score Ø 51%
53%
48%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
9 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bristol City 14. · Rotherham 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 42 26 14 2 +48 92
2 Sheffield United 42 25 7 10 +29 82
3 Middlesbrough 42 22 8 12 +31 74
4 Luton 40 20 12 8 +17 72
5 Millwall 43 18 11 14 +8 65
6 Blackburn 42 19 7 16 -2 64
7 West Brom 42 17 12 13 +9 63
8 Norwich 43 17 11 15 +8 62
9 Preston 43 17 11 15 -8 62
10 Sunderland 41 16 12 13 +9 60
11 Coventry 41 15 14 12 +8 59
12 Watford 43 15 14 14 +2 59
13 Swansea 43 16 11 16 +0 59
14 Bristol City 43 13 14 16 -3 53
15 Birmingham 43 14 11 18 -7 53
16 Hull 43 13 14 16 -11 53
17 Stoke 43 14 10 19 +4 52
18 Reading 43 13 10 20 -19 49
19 Rotherham 42 10 16 16 -10 46
20 Cardiff 42 12 9 21 -14 45
21 Huddersfield 43 11 11 21 -19 44
22 QPR 43 11 11 21 -27 44
23 Wigan 43 9 13 21 -28 40
24 Blackpool 43 9 11 23 -25 38

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bristol City Rotherham
1–0 T. Conway
C. Pring
15′
39′
🟨 Cameron Humphreys
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 R. Wood
↦ T. Blackett
52′
🟨 Jordan Hugill
55′
🔁 O. Rathbone
↦ C. Coventry
55′
🔁 W. Harding
↦ L. Peltier
56′
🟨 Cohen Bramall
Alex Scott 🟨
66′
67′
J. Hugill 1–1
68′
🔁 G. Kelly
↦ J. Hugill
A. Weimann 🔁
↦ A. Scott
73′
M. Sykes 🔁
↦ H. Cornick
73′
J. Williams 🔁
↦ A. King
78′
81′
🔁 S. Ferguson
↦ Domingos Quina
N. Wells 🔁
↦ T. Conway
84′
Andreas Weimann 🟨
88′
2–1 A. Weimann
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Bristol City

4-2-3-1
12 M. O’Leary G
19 G. Tanner D
26 Z. Vyner D
4 K. Naismith D
16 C. Pring D
10 A. King M
6 M. James M
9 H. Cornick M
7 A. Scott M
20 S. Bell M
15 T. Conway F
Bench (7)
14 A. Weimann
17 M. Sykes
8 J. Williams
21 N. Wells
3 J. Dasilva
11 A. Mehmeti
13 H. Wiles-Richards

Coach: N. Pearson

Rotherham

4-2-3-1
1 V. Johansson G
21 L. Peltier D
24 C. Humphreys D
42 T. Blackett D
3 C. Bramall D
16 J. Lindsay M
4 C. Coventry M
11 C. Ogbene M
40 Domingos Quina M
7 T. Fosu M
10 J. Hugill F
Bench (7)
6 R. Wood
18 O. Rathbone
2 W. Harding
12 G. Kelly
17 S. Ferguson
26 R. Hemfrey
29 L. Hjelde

Coach: M. Taylor

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,02
U
3,53
B
3,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,93
U2,5
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Smith · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.