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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Malec
Lechia Gdansk
S T U T T
1–2
Full-time
Cracovia
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lechia Gdansk Cracovia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 31%
25%
36%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
57%
32%
Both score Ø 39%
39%
39%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
9 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lechia Gdansk 17. · Cracovia 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 28 20 5 3 +35 65
2 Legia 29 16 9 4 +14 57
3 Lech Poznan 28 13 9 6 +13 48
4 Pogon Szczecin 28 13 8 7 +4 47
5 Warta Poznan 29 12 8 9 +8 44
6 Piast Gliwice 28 11 6 11 +3 39
7 Cracovia 28 10 8 10 +6 38
8 Widzew Lodz 28 10 8 10 -1 38
9 Jagiellonia 29 8 12 9 +3 36
10 Wisla Plock 29 10 6 13 -1 36
11 Stal Mielec 28 9 8 11 -2 35
12 Radomiak Radom 28 9 7 12 -6 34
13 Korona Kielce 28 9 7 12 -8 34
14 Gornik Zabrze 28 8 8 12 -5 32
15 Slask Wroclaw 28 7 10 11 -12 31
16 Zaglebie 28 8 7 13 -16 31
17 Lechia Gdansk 28 7 5 16 -19 26
18 Legnica 28 4 9 15 -16 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lechia Gdansk Cracovia
8′
B. Källman 0–1
P. Jaroszyński
M. Nalepa 🔁
↦ J. Abu Hanna
18′
30′
🟨 Jakub Jugas
Half-time 0–1
J. Bartkowski 🔁
↦ B. Diabaté
46′
56′
🔁 P. Makuch
↦ M. Bochnak
M. Gajos 🔁
↦ K. Tobers
62′
Henrik Castegren 🟨
69′
75′
B. Källman 0–2
P. Makuch
J. Kałuziński 🔁
↦ H. Castegren
76′
K. Friesenbichler 🔁
↦ Flávio Paixão
76′
81′
🔁 Y. Konoplyanka
↦ K. Knap
88′
🔁 C. Râpă
↦ P. Jaroszyński
1–2 J. Bartkowski
J. Kałuziński
88′
95′
🟨 Michał Rakoczy
Maciej Gajos 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Lechia Gdansk

4-2-3-1
12 D. Kuciak G
3 H. Castegren D
23 M. Maloča D
97 J. Abu Hanna D
2 R. Pietrzak D
4 K. Tobers M
6 J. Kubicki M
10 B. Diabaté M
28 Flávio Paixão M
33 M. Terrazzino M
9 L. Zwoliński F
Bench (9)
25 M. Nalepa
5 J. Bartkowski
7 M. Gajos
88 J. Kałuziński
30 K. Friesenbichler
79 K. Sezonienko
1 M. Buchalik
8 J. de Kamps
11 D. Piła

Coach: David Badia

Cracovia

3-4-3
23 K. Niemczycki G
22 A. Hoskonen D
24 J. Jugas D
5 V. Ghiță D
25 O. Kakabadze M
18 T. Oshima M
20 K. Knap M
4 P. Jaroszyński M
17 M. Bochnak F
9 B. Källman F
11 M. Rakoczy F
Bench (8)
71 P. Makuch
10 Y. Konoplyanka
2 C. Râpă
38 J. Myszor
73 P. Zaucha
36 K. Jodłowski
31 L. Hroššo
55 M. Stachera

Coach: J. Zieliński

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Malec · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.