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Championship
Referee: T Robinson
Rotherham
T S T T U
0–2
Full-time
Brentford
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rotherham Brentford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
This season — Championship · 14/13 matches
Win Ø 34%
21%
46%
Points per game
0,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
43%
46%
Both score Ø 48%
50%
46%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
8 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 6
21 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rotherham 21. · Brentford 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 14 8 4 2 +7 28
2 Bournemouth 15 7 6 2 +9 27
3 Bristol City 15 8 3 4 +4 27
4 Watford 14 7 5 2 +8 26
5 Reading 14 8 2 4 +5 26
6 Swansea 13 7 4 2 +8 25
7 Brentford 13 6 4 3 +7 22
8 Stoke 14 6 4 4 +3 22
9 Blackburn 14 6 3 5 +11 21
10 Middlesbrough 14 5 6 3 +5 21
11 Cardiff 15 5 5 5 +7 20
12 Millwall 14 4 8 2 +2 20
13 Barnsley 15 5 4 6 +0 19
14 Preston 15 6 1 8 -3 19
15 Luton 14 5 4 5 -6 19
16 Huddersfield 15 5 3 7 -4 18
17 QPR 15 4 5 6 -5 17
18 Birmingham 15 3 7 5 -3 16
19 Sheffield Weds 14 3 5 6 -5 14
20 Coventry 15 3 5 7 -10 14
21 Rotherham 14 3 4 7 -4 13
22 Nott'm Forest 14 3 3 8 -8 12
23 Wycombe 14 2 4 8 -13 10
24 Derby 15 1 5 9 -15 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rotherham Brentford
Matt Crooks 🟨
22′
Half-time 0–0
Richard Wood 🟨
48′
57′
M. Forss 0–1
I. Toney
M. Miller 🔁
↦ J. Mattock
71′
F. Jozefzoon 🔁
↦ M. Olosunde
71′
Mikel Miller 🟨
72′
Angus MacDonald 🟨
73′
74′
🔁 Sergi Canós
↦ B. Mbeumo
79′
🔁 E. Marcondes
↦ J. Dasilva
G. Hirst 🔁
↦ F. Ladapo
80′
K. Vassell 🔁
↦ J. Lindsay
80′
Mikel Miller 🟨
82′
Mikel Miller 🟥
82′
82′
I. Toney 0–2
87′
🔁 S. Ghoddos
↦ M. Forss
87′
🔁 A. Presley
↦ I. Toney
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Rotherham

3-5-2
27 J. Blackman G
6 R. Wood D
3 J. Mattock M
21 A. MacDonald D
22 M. Olosunde M
19 W. Harding D
25 M. Crooks M
16 J. Lindsay M
8 B. Wiles M
24 M. Smith F
10 F. Ladapo F
Bench (9)
14 M. Miller
28 F. Jozefzoon
9 G. Hirst
7 K. Vassell
18 T. Clarke
2 B. Jones
1 V. Johansson
5 A. Thompson
26 D. Barlaser

Coach: P. Warne

Brentford

4-3-3
1 David Raya G
18 P. Jansson D
3 R. Henry D
5 E. Pinnock D
24 T. Fosu D
8 M. Jensen M
27 V. Janelt M
17 I. Toney F
14 J. Dasilva M
15 M. Forss F
19 B. Mbeumo
Bench (9)
7 Sergi Canós
9 E. Marcondes
20 S. Ghoddos
34 A. Presley
28 L. Daniels
33 F. Hammar
2 D. Thompson
36 F. Stevens
29 M. Sørensen

Coach: T. Frank

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,55
U
3,71
B ✓
1,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,90
U2,5 ✓
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Robinson · 200 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.