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Championship

Referee: Jeremy Simpson

Leeds

S S S S T

0–0

Full-time

Nott'm Forest

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds Nott'm Forest

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,0

This season — Championship · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 46%

52%

40%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

52%

60%

Both score Ø 50%

44%

56%

Average goals

2,6

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

19 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

2 Corners 8

3 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leeds 5. · Nott'm Forest 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolves	25	18	4	3	+27	58
2	Derby	24	14	5	5	+18	47
3	Bristol City	25	13	8	4	+14	47
4	Cardiff	25	14	5	6	+12	47
5	Leeds	25	13	3	9	+9	42
6	Sheffield United	25	13	2	10	+9	41
7	Preston	25	10	10	5	+5	40
8	Middlesbrough	23	11	4	8	+9	37
9	Brentford	25	9	10	6	+7	37
10	Ipswich	25	11	3	11	+3	36
11	Fulham	23	9	8	6	+3	35
12	Aston Villa	22	9	7	6	+7	34
13	Norwich	25	8	7	10	-6	31
14	Nott'm Forest	25	10	1	14	-9	31
15	Millwall	25	7	9	9	+0	30
16	Sheffield Weds	25	7	9	9	-1	30
17	Reading	25	7	7	11	-3	28
18	QPR	25	6	9	10	-9	27
19	Hull	25	5	9	11	-4	24
20	Barnsley	25	5	8	12	-11	23
21	Sunderland	25	4	10	11	-13	22
22	Bolton	25	5	7	13	-19	22
23	Burton Albion	25	5	6	14	-26	21
24	Birmingham	25	5	5	15	-22	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolves	12	9	2	1	+15	29
2	Cardiff	13	8	3	2	+12	27
3	Derby	12	8	1	3	+13	25
4	Sheffield United	13	8	1	4	+10	25
5	Millwall	13	7	3	3	+8	24
6	Bristol City	13	7	3	3	+7	24
7	Ipswich	13	7	2	4	+9	23
8	Middlesbrough	12	7	2	3	+6	23
9	Brentford	13	5	7	1	+7	22
10	Leeds	12	6	3	3	+8	21
11	Nott'm Forest	13	7	0	6	+0	21
12	Preston	12	5	5	2	+4	20
13	Aston Villa	10	5	4	1	+6	19
14	QPR	12	5	4	3	+2	19
15	Sheffield Weds	12	4	5	3	+3	17
16	Fulham	11	4	5	2	+1	17
17	Birmingham	13	5	2	6	-5	17
18	Hull	13	4	4	5	+7	16
19	Norwich	12	3	5	4	-1	14
20	Bolton	12	4	2	6	-4	14
21	Reading	12	3	4	5	-1	13
22	Barnsley	13	3	4	6	-5	13
23	Sunderland	12	1	5	6	-7	8
24	Burton Albion	13	2	2	9	-16	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolves	13	9	2	2	+12	29
2	Bristol City	12	6	5	1	+7	23
3	Derby	12	6	4	2	+5	22
4	Leeds	13	7	0	6	+1	21
5	Preston	13	5	5	3	+1	20
6	Cardiff	12	6	2	4	+0	20
7	Fulham	12	5	3	4	+2	18
8	Norwich	13	5	2	6	-5	17
9	Sheffield United	12	5	1	6	-1	16
10	Aston Villa	12	4	3	5	+1	15
11	Brentford	12	4	3	5	+0	15
12	Reading	13	4	3	6	-2	15
13	Middlesbrough	11	4	2	5	+3	14
14	Sunderland	13	3	5	5	-6	14
15	Sheffield Weds	13	3	4	6	-4	13
16	Ipswich	12	4	1	7	-6	13
17	Burton Albion	12	3	4	5	-10	13
18	Barnsley	12	2	4	6	-6	10
19	Nott'm Forest	12	3	1	8	-9	10
20	Hull	12	1	5	6	-11	8
21	QPR	13	1	5	7	-11	8
22	Bolton	13	1	5	7	-15	8
23	Millwall	12	0	6	6	-8	6
24	Birmingham	12	0	3	9	-17	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.