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Championship
Referee: S Martin
Middlesbrough
S T S S U
0–1
Full-time
Brentford
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Brentford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
6,0
1,0
Scored
3,0
0,0
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
14 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 3
5 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Middlesbrough 13. · Brentford 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 Sheffield Weds 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Wigan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 West Brom 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Charlton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 QPR 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Swansea 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Derby 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Barnsley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Millwall 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Luton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Nott'm Forest 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Cardiff 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Blackburn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Stoke 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Hull 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Brentford 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Fulham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Preston 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Reading 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Middlesbrough Brentford
Half-time 0–1
54′
O. Watkins 0–1
Sergi Canós
72′
🔁 L. Racic
↦ E. Pinnock
M. Browne 🔁
↦ M. Johnson
75′
A. Dijksteel 🔁
↦ A. Clayton
75′
R. Gestede 🔁
↦ A. Fletcher
81′
81′
🔁 B. Mbeumo
↦ Sergi Canós
82′
🟨 Henrik Dalsgaard
88′
🔁 D. Yearwood
↦ J. Dasilva
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Middlesbrough

4-3-3
23 D. Randolph G
5 R. Shotton D
4 Daniel Ayala D
33 H. Coulson D
16 J. Howson D
8 A. Clayton M
21 M. Johnson F
17 P. McNair M
26 L. Wing M
9 B. Assombalonga F
11 A. Fletcher F
Bench (7)
10 M. Browne
2 A. Dijksteel
14 R. Gestede
7 M. Tavernier
27 M. Bola
22 G. Saville
42 A. Pears

Coach: J. Woodgate

Brentford

3-4-3
1 David Raya G
22 H. Dalsgaard M
18 P. Jansson D
23 J. Jeanvier D
3 R. Henry M
5 E. Pinnock D
17 E. Marcondes F
7 Sergi Canós F
8 M. Jensen M
11 O. Watkins F
14 J. Dasilva M
Bench (7)
32 L. Racic
19 B. Mbeumo
4 D. Yearwood
16 J. Valencia
15 M. Forss
20 J. Clarke
28 L. Daniels

Coach: T. Frank

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,40
U
3,32
B ✓
2,94
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,91
U2,5 ✓
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Martin · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.