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Europa League
Referee: I Kružliak
Leverkusen
S S S S S
1–1
Full-time
St. Gilloise
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
2,5
2,2
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/8 matches
Win Ø 69%
75%
63%
Points per game
2,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,4
Scored
2,3
2,1
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,45 xG 0,58
64% Possession 36%
15 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 4
6 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Leverkusen St. Gilloise
25′
🟨 Siebe Van Der Heyden
Half-time 0–0
K. Demirbay 🔁
↦ E. Palacios
46′
51′
⚽ V. Boniface 0–1
T. Teuma
S. Azmoun 🔁
↦ A. Adli
67′
75′
🔁 Cameron Puertas
↦ Y. Vertessen
Piero Hincapié 🟨
76′
80′
🔁 O. El Azzouzi
↦ S. Lynen
1–1 F. Wirtz ⚽
S. Azmoun
82′
84′
🟨 Loic Lapoussin
A. Hložek 🔁
↦ M. Diaby
87′
89′
🔁 G. Nilsson
↦ V. Boniface
93′
🟨 Anthony Moris
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Leverkusen

3-4-3
1 L. Hrádecký G
12 E. Tapsoba D
4 J. Tah D
3 P. Hincapié D
30 J. Frimpong M
25 E. Palacios M
8 R. Andrich M
5 M. Bakker M
19 M. Diaby F
27 F. Wirtz F
21 A. Adli F
Bench (11)
10 K. Demirbay
9 S. Azmoun
23 A. Hložek
17 C. Hudson-Odoi
38 K. Bellarabi
32 A. Azhil
11 N. Amiri
6 O. Kossounou
28 P. Pentz
36 N. Lomb
24 T. Fosu-Mensah

Coach: Xabi Alonso

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
59 I. Kandouss D
16 C. Burgess D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
8 L. Amani M
20 S. Lynen M
10 T. Teuma M
94 L. Lapoussin M
18 Y. Vertessen F
7 V. Boniface F
Bench (11)
23 Cameron Puertas
6 O. El Azzouzi
29 G. Nilsson
33 I. Fellous
14 J. Imbrechts
28 K. Machida
35 N. Huygevelde
11 S. Adingra
17 C. Terho
9 D. Eckert Ayensa
26 R. Sykes

Coach: K. Geraerts

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kružliak · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.