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Pro League
Referee: W Smet
Eupen
U S U S T
2–3
Full-time
Waregem
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 18/20 matches
Win Ø 34%
28%
40%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
44%
65%
Both score Ø 58%
61%
55%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

17 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 9
3 Corners 6
21 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 13. · Waregem 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 18 10 7 1 +19 37
2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 22 10 6 6 +7 36
3 Antwerp 18 10 5 3 +14 35
4 Club Brugge 18 10 4 4 +23 34
5 Charleroi 21 10 4 7 +6 34
6 Beerschot VA 19 10 1 8 -1 31
7 Anderlecht 18 7 9 2 +11 30
8 Kortrijk 21 8 5 8 -2 29
9 Gent 19 9 1 9 +7 28
10 Waregem 20 8 3 9 -5 27
11 Mechelen 19 7 4 8 -5 25
12 Standard 18 6 6 6 +1 24
13 Eupen 18 5 9 4 -4 24
14 Oostende 17 6 4 7 +2 22
15 Cercle Brugge 20 7 0 13 -7 21
16 Waasland-Beveren 19 5 4 10 -14 19
17 Beveren 19 5 4 10 -14 19
18 St Truiden 20 4 6 10 -10 18
19 Mouscron 19 4 5 10 -14 17
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 19 4 5 10 -14 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Waregem
33′
🟨 Gianni Bruno
1–0 K. Musona
34′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 B. Srarfi
↦ N. Kainourgios
46′
🔁 J. Dompé
↦ J. Vossen
56′
🟨 Ibrahima Seck
2–0 K. Musona
57′
Menno Koch 🟨
60′
Carlos Embalo 🔁
↦ I. Nuhu
63′
68′
🔁 M. De Smet
↦ O. Govea
A. Beck 🔁
↦ J. Heris
73′
75′
J. Dompé 2–1
M. De Smet
S. Prevljak 🔁
↦ K. Musona
78′
M. Koné 🔁
↦ A. Baby
79′
Konan N'Dri 🟨
80′
82′
G. Bruno 2–2
I. Seck
84′
O. Deschacht 2–3
D. Marcq
Smail Prevljak 🟨
86′
91′
🔁 A. Sissako
↦ G. Bruno
95′
🔁 E. Pletinckx
↦ B. Srarfi
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Eupen

4-4-2
31 T. Defourny G
28 J. Heris
5 Jordi Amat D
3 M. Koch D
23 S. Miangué M
22 E. Agbadou D
8 S. Peeters M
29 I. Nuhu M
11 A. Baby M
10 K. Musona F
34 K. N’Dri M
Bench (7)
17 Carlos Embalo
32 A. Beck
9 S. Prevljak
77 M. Koné
25 E. Sowah Adjei
15 G. Magnée
1 O. De Wolf

Coach: Beñat San José

Waregem

3-5-2
25 L. Bostyn G
3 O. Deschacht D
27 L. De Bock D
4 D. Opare D
33 C. Humphreys D
43 N. Kainourgios M
5 D. Marcq M
21 I. Seck M
10 O. Govea M
9 J. Vossen F
19 G. Bruno F
Bench (7)
11 B. Srarfi
17 J. Dompé
29 M. De Smet
24 E. Pletinckx
6 A. Sissako
23 P. Armenakas
1 S. Bossut

Coach: F. Dury

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,98
U
3,52
B ✓
3,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,13
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Smet · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.