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Ligue 1

Referee: T Léonard

Nice

S S S U U

1–1

Full-time

St Etienne

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

0,8

3,3

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

0,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 44%

44%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 41%

25%

56%

Average goals

1,6

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

23 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Nice 7. · St Etienne 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	16	14	2	0	+39	44
2	Lille	18	10	4	4	+11	34
3	Montpellier	16	8	5	3	+12	29
4	Lyon	16	8	4	4	+6	28
5	Marseille	16	8	2	6	+4	26
6	St Etienne	16	7	5	4	+3	26
7	Nice	16	7	4	5	-2	25
8	Reims	18	6	7	5	-3	25
9	Strasbourg	18	5	8	5	+5	23
10	Nimes	17	6	5	6	+2	23
11	Rennes	17	6	5	6	-2	23
12	Bordeaux	16	5	6	5	+0	21
13	Nantes	16	5	5	6	+0	20
14	Angers	16	4	6	6	-2	18
15	Toulouse	16	4	6	6	-10	18
16	Dijon	17	4	4	9	-12	16
17	Amiens	17	5	1	11	-14	16
18	Caen	17	2	8	7	-7	14
19	Monaco	16	3	4	9	-8	13
20	Guingamp	17	1	5	11	-22	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	8	0	0	+24	24
2	Lille	9	6	3	0	+12	21
3	St Etienne	8	6	2	0	+10	20
4	Marseille	8	5	2	1	+11	17
5	Lyon	9	5	2	2	+6	17
6	Montpellier	9	4	3	2	+7	15
7	Bordeaux	9	4	3	2	+3	15
8	Reims	9	4	3	2	+2	15
9	Strasbourg	9	3	4	2	+4	13
10	Nantes	8	3	3	2	+7	12
11	Rennes	8	3	2	3	-2	11
12	Nice	8	3	1	4	-5	10
13	Nimes	8	2	3	3	+1	9
14	Angers	8	2	3	3	-1	9
15	Amiens	8	3	0	5	-2	9
16	Toulouse	8	2	3	3	-3	9
17	Caen	8	1	4	3	-2	7
18	Dijon	8	2	1	5	-9	7
19	Guingamp	8	0	3	5	-8	3
20	Monaco	8	0	3	5	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	6	2	0	+15	20
2	Nice	8	4	3	1	+3	15
3	Montpellier	7	4	2	1	+5	14
4	Nimes	9	4	2	3	+1	14
5	Lille	9	4	1	4	-1	13
6	Rennes	9	3	3	3	+0	12
7	Lyon	7	3	2	2	+0	11
8	Strasbourg	9	2	4	3	+1	10
9	Monaco	8	3	1	4	+0	10
10	Reims	9	2	4	3	-5	10
11	Angers	8	2	3	3	-1	9
12	Dijon	9	2	3	4	-3	9
13	Marseille	8	3	0	5	-7	9
14	Toulouse	8	2	3	3	-7	9
15	Nantes	8	2	2	4	-7	8
16	Caen	9	1	4	4	-5	7
17	Amiens	9	2	1	6	-12	7
18	Bordeaux	7	1	3	3	-3	6
19	St Etienne	8	1	3	4	-7	6
20	Guingamp	9	1	2	6	-14	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.