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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Brych
Ein Frankfurt
S S S T T
2–1
Full-time
Leverkusen
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 43%
50%
36%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
71%
57%
Both score Ø 64%
71%
57%
Average goals
3,4
3,2
Scored
2,1
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
17 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 7
1 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 9
6 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 5. · Leverkusen 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 15 12 3 0 +26 39
2 M'gladbach 15 9 3 3 +17 30
3 Bayern Munich 15 9 3 3 +14 30
4 RB Leipzig 15 8 4 3 +14 28
5 Ein Frankfurt 14 7 2 5 +13 23
6 Hoffenheim 15 6 5 4 +9 23
7 Hertha 15 6 5 4 +1 23
8 Wolfsburg 15 6 4 5 +2 22
9 Werder Bremen 15 6 3 6 +0 21
10 Mainz 15 5 4 6 -5 19
11 Leverkusen 14 5 3 6 -5 18
12 Freiburg 15 4 5 6 -5 17
13 Schalke 04 15 4 3 8 -5 15
14 Augsburg 15 3 5 7 -3 14
15 Stuttgart 15 4 2 9 -19 14
16 Fortuna Dusseldorf 15 3 3 9 -16 12
17 Nurnberg 15 2 5 8 -21 11
18 Hannover 15 2 4 9 -17 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Leverkusen
Jetro Willems 🟨
4′
1–0 D. da Costa
F. Kostić
28′
Evan Ndicka 🟨
30′
Sébastien Haller 🟨
32′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 F. Kostić
S. Haller
57′
63′
🔁 L. Bailey
↦ M. Weiser
63′
🔁 L. Alario
↦ C. Aránguiz
65′
K. Bellarabi 2–1
L. Bailey
Carlos Salcedo 🟨
81′
L. Jović 🔁
↦ A. Rebić
81′
84′
🟨 Karim Bellarabi
J. de Guzmán 🔁
↦ J. Willems
84′
85′
🔁 Paulinho
↦ J. Brandt
Gélson Fernandes 🟨
86′
86′
🟨 Lucas Alario
Mijat Gaćinović 🟨
89′
M. Stendera 🔁
↦ M. Gaćinović
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-1-2
31 K. Trapp G
15 J. Willems M
3 S. Falette D
24 D. da Costa M
13 C. Salcedo D
2 O. N'Dicka D
5 G. Fernandes M
10 F. Kostić M
11 M. Gaćinović M
9 S. Haller F
4 A. Rebić F
Bench (7)
8 L. Jović
6 J. de Guzmán
21 M. Stendera
1 F. Rønnow
23 M. Russ
27 N. Müller
33 T. Tawatha

Coach: A. Hütter

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
1 L. Hradecky G
6 A. Dragović D
23 M. Weiser D
16 T. Jedvaj D
4 J. Tah D
20 C. Aránguiz M
38 K. Bellarabi M
21 D. Kohr M
29 K. Havertz M
31 K. Volland F
10 J. Brandt M
Bench (7)
9 L. Bailey
13 L. Alario
7 Paulinho
5 S. Bender
15 J. Baumgartlinger
18 Wendell
24 T. Kirschbaum

Coach: H. Herrlich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Felix Brych · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.