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Serie A

Referee: Gianluca Manganiello

Roma

T U S S U

3–0

Full-time

Cagliari

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Cagliari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

This season — Serie A · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 38%

45%

30%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

61%

42%

Both score Ø 55%

64%

45%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

43% Possession 57%

21 Shots 11

10 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

5 Corners 5

3 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Roma 6. · Cagliari 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	33	28	3	2	+44	87
2	Napoli	33	20	7	6	+32	67
3	Inter	33	18	7	8	+24	61
4	Atalanta	33	16	8	9	+24	56
5	Milan	33	15	11	7	+16	56
6	Roma	33	15	10	8	+12	55
7	Torino	33	13	14	6	+13	53
8	Lazio	33	15	7	11	+12	52
9	Sampdoria	33	14	6	13	+9	48
10	Fiorentina	33	8	16	9	+6	40
11	Cagliari	33	10	10	13	-12	40
12	Sassuolo	33	8	14	11	-5	38
13	Spal	33	10	8	15	-13	38
14	Bologna	34	9	10	15	-11	37
15	Parma	33	9	9	15	-17	36
16	Genoa	33	8	10	15	-17	34
17	Udinese	33	8	9	16	-16	33
18	Empoli	34	7	8	19	-23	29
19	Frosinone	33	5	8	20	-34	23
20	Chievo	33	2	11	20	-44	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	17	15	2	0	+26	47
2	Napoli	17	11	4	2	+21	37
3	Milan	17	10	4	3	+11	34
4	Roma	16	9	5	2	+11	32
5	Inter	16	9	4	3	+14	31
6	Lazio	17	9	4	4	+13	31
7	Cagliari	17	8	6	3	+5	30
8	Sampdoria	16	9	2	5	+12	29
9	Torino	16	9	2	5	+8	29
10	Atalanta	16	7	5	4	+12	26
11	Bologna	17	7	4	6	+2	25
12	Udinese	17	7	4	6	-1	25
13	Empoli	17	7	3	7	-1	24
14	Genoa	17	6	6	5	-1	24
15	Fiorentina	16	5	8	3	+8	23
16	Sassuolo	17	5	8	4	+0	23
17	Spal	16	5	6	5	-4	21
18	Parma	17	4	6	7	-8	18
19	Chievo	16	1	5	10	-19	8
20	Frosinone	16	1	5	10	-20	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	16	13	1	2	+18	40
2	Atalanta	17	9	3	5	+12	30
3	Napoli	16	9	3	4	+11	30
4	Inter	17	9	3	5	+10	30
5	Torino	17	4	12	1	+5	24
6	Roma	17	6	5	6	+1	23
7	Milan	16	5	7	4	+5	22
8	Lazio	16	6	3	7	-1	21
9	Sampdoria	17	5	4	8	-3	19
10	Parma	16	5	3	8	-9	18
11	Fiorentina	17	3	8	6	-2	17
12	Spal	17	5	2	10	-9	17
13	Sassuolo	16	3	6	7	-5	15
14	Frosinone	17	4	3	10	-14	15
15	Bologna	17	2	6	9	-13	12
16	Genoa	16	2	4	10	-16	10
17	Cagliari	16	2	4	10	-17	10
18	Chievo	17	1	6	10	-25	9
19	Udinese	16	1	5	10	-15	8
20	Empoli	17	0	5	12	-22	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.