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Pro League
Referee: Nicolas Laforge
0–1
Full-time
Genk
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 24/16 matches
Win Ø 32%
33%
31%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
54%
50%
Both score Ø 69%
63%
75%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

7 Corners 2
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 8. · Genk 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 17 14 2 1 +26 44
2 Antwerp 25 9 10 6 +5 37
3 Anderlecht 14 10 3 1 +13 33
4 Beveren 25 9 6 10 +3 33
5 Kortrijk 25 9 6 10 -2 33
6 St Truiden 25 8 9 8 -7 33
7 Charleroi 16 9 5 2 +14 32
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 24 8 5 11 -10 29
9 Gent 16 8 4 4 +13 28
10 Waregem 24 8 3 13 -6 27
11 Lokeren 25 7 6 12 -13 27
12 Oostende 24 7 4 13 -3 25
13 Standard 17 6 6 5 +2 24
14 Genk 16 5 8 3 +3 23
15 Eupen 25 4 9 12 -18 21
16 Mechelen 24 4 6 14 -20 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Genk
B. Van Durmen 🔁
↦ G. Galitsios
20′
Half-time 0–0
54′
🟨 Alejandro Pozuelo
T. Awoniyi 🔁
↦ D. Rotariu
58′
68′
🔁 D. N'Dongala
↦ M. Samatta
Jonathan Bolingi 🟨
70′
72′
🔁 N. Karelis
↦ M. Ingvartsen
83′
D. N'Dongala 0–1
Pozuelo
N. Debaisieux 🔁
↦ F. Olinga
86′
86′
🔁 J. Aidoo
↦ Pozuelo
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

1 O. Werner G
13 G. Galitsios D
28 J. Huyghebaert D
4 T. Mézague D
31 B. Godeau D
3 N. De Medina
11 D. Mohamed F
7 F. Olinga F
95 D. Rotariu F
6 O. Govea M
10 J. Bolingi F
Bench (7)
30 B. Van Durmen
18 T. Awoniyi
29 N. Debaisieux
14 S. Spahiu
24 N. Gulan
25 C. Diedhiou
54 L. Bailly

Coach: M. Rednic

Genk

1 D. Vuković G
6 S. Dewaest D
21 J. Uronen D
3 B. Nastić D
15 O. Colley D
4 D. Wouters D
19 T. Buffel F
24 Pozuelo M
17 I. Seck M
10 M. Samatta F
9 M. Ingvartsen F
Bench (7)
77 D. N'Dongala
7 N. Karelis
45 J. Aidoo
8 E. Zhegrova
16 D. Vanzeir
22 S. Schrijvers
30 N. Jackers

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nicolas Laforge · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.