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Pro League
Referee: Bart Vertenten
Lokeren
T U S S T
1–2
Full-time
Genk
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lokeren Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 22/14 matches
Win Ø 28%
27%
29%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
55%
50%
Both score Ø 61%
50%
71%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
15 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lokeren 12. · Genk 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 16 13 2 1 +25 41
2 Antwerp 22 9 8 5 +6 35
3 Anderlecht 13 10 2 1 +13 32
4 St Truiden 23 8 8 7 -5 32
5 Charleroi 14 9 4 1 +15 31
6 Kortrijk 23 8 5 10 -4 29
7 Beveren 22 8 4 10 +2 28
8 Gent 14 8 2 4 +13 26
9 Waregem 23 8 2 13 -6 26
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 23 7 5 11 -12 26
11 Oostende 22 7 4 11 -1 25
12 Lokeren 22 6 6 10 -10 24
13 Standard 16 5 6 5 -1 21
14 Genk 14 4 7 3 +2 19
15 Mechelen 23 4 6 13 -18 18
16 Eupen 22 3 7 12 -19 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lokeren Genk
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Joseph Aidoo
56′
J. Aidoo 0–1
Pozuelo
57′
🔁 D. Vanzeir
↦ M. Ingvartsen
67′
D. Vanzeir 0–2
J. Uronen
T. De Sutter 🔁
↦ J. Michel
68′
71′
🔁 E. Zhegrova
↦ Pozuelo
Guus Hupperts 🟨
75′
B. Straetman 🔁
↦ R. Söder
76′
A. Benchaib 🔁
↦ G. Hupperts
76′
1–2 A. Skúlason
88′
89′
🔁 A. Khammas
↦ T. Buffel
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Lokeren

4-2-3-1
13 D. Verhulst G
6 A. Skúlason D
35 T. Mpati Bibuangu D
25 J. Filipović D
7 K. Overmeire M
22 S. De Ridder M
8 J. Michel M
20 J. Rassoul M
27 R. Söder F
17 G. Hupperts F
14 M. Terki F
Bench (7)
9 T. De Sutter
11 B. Straetman
28 A. Benchaib
18 J. Mendy
2 S. Marzo
12 O. De Wolf
26 A. Monsecour

Coach: P. Maes

Genk

4-2-3-1
1 D. Vuković G
6 S. Dewaest D
21 J. Uronen D
4 D. Wouters D
45 J. Aidoo D
19 T. Buffel F
24 Pozuelo M
17 I. Seck M
31 J. Mæhle M
22 S. Schrijvers F
9 M. Ingvartsen F
Bench (8)
16 D. Vanzeir
8 E. Zhegrova
5 A. Khammas
15 O. Colley
3 B. Nastić
29 M. Benson
30 N. Jackers
33 P. Zebli

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bart Vertenten · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.