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Bundesliga

Referee: Tobias Stieler

M'gladbach

T S T S T

0–1

Full-time

RB Leipzig

U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach RB Leipzig

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 45%

45%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

55%

60%

Both score Ø 63%

60%

65%

Average goals

3,1

Scored

1,5

1,6

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

10 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 7

5 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match M'gladbach 7. · RB Leipzig 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	21	17	2	2	+35	53
2	Leverkusen	21	9	8	4	+14	35
3	Dortmund	21	9	7	5	+16	34
4	Schalke 04	21	9	7	5	+6	34
5	Ein Frankfurt	20	9	6	5	+6	33
6	RB Leipzig	20	9	5	6	+3	32
7	M'gladbach	20	9	4	7	-2	31
8	Augsburg	20	7	7	6	+3	28
9	Hoffenheim	21	7	7	7	-1	28
10	Hertha	21	6	9	6	+0	27
11	Hannover	20	7	6	7	-2	27
12	Freiburg	21	5	10	6	-13	25
13	Wolfsburg	21	4	12	5	-1	24
14	Stuttgart	21	6	3	12	-10	21
15	Werder Bremen	21	4	8	9	-8	20
16	Mainz	21	5	5	11	-13	20
17	Hamburg	20	4	4	12	-13	16
18	FC Koln	21	3	4	14	-20	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	10	9	1	0	+24	28
2	RB Leipzig	10	6	3	1	+9	21
3	M'gladbach	10	6	2	2	+4	20
4	Leverkusen	10	5	4	1	+9	19
5	Schalke 04	11	5	4	2	+5	19
6	Stuttgart	10	6	1	3	+3	19
7	Hannover	10	5	3	2	+6	18
8	Hoffenheim	10	5	3	2	+5	18
9	Freiburg	11	4	6	1	+3	18
10	Augsburg	10	4	4	2	+4	16
11	Hertha	11	4	4	3	+1	16
12	Mainz	11	5	1	5	-2	16
13	Dortmund	10	4	3	3	+9	15
14	Wolfsburg	11	2	7	2	+0	13
15	Ein Frankfurt	10	3	3	4	+0	12
16	Hamburg	10	3	2	5	-3	11
17	Werder Bremen	10	2	4	4	-3	10
18	FC Koln	11	2	2	7	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	11	8	1	2	+11	25
2	Ein Frankfurt	10	6	3	1	+6	21
3	Dortmund	11	5	4	2	+7	19
4	Leverkusen	11	4	4	3	+5	16
5	Schalke 04	10	4	3	3	+1	15
6	Augsburg	10	3	3	4	-1	12
7	Hertha	10	2	5	3	-1	11
8	Wolfsburg	10	2	5	3	-1	11
9	M'gladbach	10	3	2	5	-6	11
10	RB Leipzig	10	3	2	5	-6	11
11	Werder Bremen	11	2	4	5	-5	10
12	Hoffenheim	11	2	4	5	-6	10
13	Hannover	10	2	3	5	-8	9
14	Freiburg	10	1	4	5	-16	7
15	Hamburg	10	1	2	7	-10	5
16	FC Koln	10	1	2	7	-11	5
17	Mainz	10	0	4	6	-11	4
18	Stuttgart	11	0	2	9	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.