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La Liga

Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera

Alaves

S T S U T

2–1

Full-time

Celta

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

This season — La Liga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 36%

29%

43%

Points per game

0,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

38%

71%

Both score Ø 52%

33%

71%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

26% Possession 74%

9 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 1

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 17. · Celta 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	21	18	3	0	+49	57
2	Ath Madrid	21	13	7	1	+23	46
3	Valencia	21	12	4	5	+17	40
4	Real Madrid	20	11	5	4	+24	38
5	Villarreal	22	11	4	7	+7	37
6	Sevilla	22	10	3	9	-6	33
7	Eibar	22	9	5	8	-3	32
8	Celta	21	9	4	8	+8	31
9	Betis	22	9	3	10	-8	30
10	Getafe	21	7	7	7	+5	28
11	Girona	21	7	7	7	+0	28
12	Leganes	20	8	4	8	-1	28
13	Ath Bilbao	21	6	9	6	+1	27
14	Sociedad	22	7	5	10	+1	26
15	Espanol	21	6	6	9	-10	24
16	Levante	21	3	10	8	-12	19
17	Alaves	21	6	1	14	-14	19
18	La Coruna	22	4	5	13	-27	17
19	Las Palmas	21	4	2	15	-34	14
20	Malaga	21	3	4	14	-20	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	9	1	0	+26	28
2	Valencia	11	7	2	2	+12	23
3	Ath Madrid	10	6	4	0	+10	22
4	Eibar	12	6	3	3	+10	21
5	Sevilla	10	6	3	1	+8	21
6	Real Madrid	11	6	2	3	+15	20
7	Villarreal	10	6	2	2	+11	20
8	Getafe	11	6	2	3	+9	20
9	Betis	12	6	2	4	-1	20
10	Leganes	9	5	2	2	+2	17
11	Espanol	11	5	2	4	+0	17
12	Sociedad	12	4	3	5	+4	15
13	Celta	10	4	3	3	+2	15
14	Girona	10	4	2	4	+3	14
15	Ath Bilbao	10	3	5	2	+2	14
16	Alaves	11	4	1	6	-5	13
17	La Coruna	11	3	2	6	-7	11
18	Levante	11	2	4	5	-6	10
19	Las Palmas	10	3	1	6	-11	10
20	Malaga	10	2	3	5	-6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	9	2	0	+23	29
2	Ath Madrid	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	Real Madrid	9	5	3	1	+9	18
4	Valencia	10	5	2	3	+5	17
5	Villarreal	12	5	2	5	-4	17
6	Celta	11	5	1	5	+6	16
7	Girona	11	3	5	3	-3	14
8	Ath Bilbao	11	3	4	4	-1	13
9	Sevilla	12	4	0	8	-14	12
10	Sociedad	10	3	2	5	-3	11
11	Leganes	11	3	2	6	-3	11
12	Eibar	10	3	2	5	-13	11
13	Betis	10	3	1	6	-7	10
14	Levante	10	1	6	3	-6	9
15	Getafe	10	1	5	4	-4	8
16	Espanol	10	1	4	5	-10	7
17	Alaves	10	2	0	8	-9	6
18	La Coruna	11	1	3	7	-20	6
19	Malaga	11	1	1	9	-14	4
20	Las Palmas	11	1	1	9	-23	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.