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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Clos Gomez

Sevilla

T S S T S

4–1

Full-time

Malaga

S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,2

4,0

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 47%

60%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

67%

53%

Both score Ø 70%

73%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,1

Scored

1,9

1,6

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

58% Possession 42%

9 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 6

4 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 3. · Malaga 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	11	4	0	+26	37
2	Barcelona	15	9	4	2	+22	31
3	Sevilla	15	9	3	3	+8	30
4	Villarreal	16	8	5	3	+14	29
5	Sociedad	16	9	2	5	+7	29
6	Ath Madrid	16	8	4	4	+15	28
7	Ath Bilbao	15	7	2	6	+2	23
8	Eibar	15	6	4	5	+2	22
9	Espanol	15	5	7	3	+1	22
10	Las Palmas	16	5	6	5	+2	21
11	Malaga	15	5	6	4	+2	21
12	Alaves	16	5	6	5	-2	21
13	Celta	15	6	3	6	-5	21
14	Betis	16	5	3	8	-11	18
15	Leganes	15	4	3	8	-14	15
16	La Coruna	15	3	4	8	-7	13
17	Valencia	15	3	3	9	-8	12
18	Sp Gijon	16	3	3	10	-16	12
19	Granada	16	1	6	9	-19	9
20	Osasuna	15	1	4	10	-19	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	8	6	2	0	+10	20
2	Villarreal	8	6	1	1	+12	19
3	Sevilla	7	6	0	1	+6	18
4	Ath Madrid	8	5	2	1	+12	17
5	Sociedad	8	5	2	1	+7	17
6	Malaga	8	5	2	1	+6	17
7	Eibar	8	5	2	1	+6	17
8	Las Palmas	8	4	4	0	+8	16
9	Ath Bilbao	7	5	1	1	+6	16
10	Celta	8	5	0	3	+0	15
11	Barcelona	7	3	3	1	+8	12
12	Betis	8	3	3	2	-2	12
13	La Coruna	7	3	1	3	+3	10
14	Espanol	8	2	4	2	+0	10
15	Alaves	8	2	4	2	-1	10
16	Sp Gijon	8	3	1	4	-6	10
17	Granada	8	1	3	4	-4	6
18	Valencia	7	1	2	4	-5	5
19	Leganes	7	1	2	4	-6	5
20	Osasuna	8	0	2	6	-11	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	6	1	1	+14	19
2	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+16	17
3	Sevilla	8	3	3	2	+2	12
4	Espanol	7	3	3	1	+1	12
5	Sociedad	8	4	0	4	+0	12
6	Ath Madrid	8	3	2	3	+3	11
7	Alaves	8	3	2	3	-1	11
8	Villarreal	8	2	4	2	+2	10
9	Leganes	8	3	1	4	-8	10
10	Valencia	8	2	1	5	-3	7
11	Ath Bilbao	8	2	1	5	-4	7
12	Celta	7	1	3	3	-5	6
13	Betis	8	2	0	6	-9	6
14	Eibar	7	1	2	4	-4	5
15	Las Palmas	8	1	2	5	-6	5
16	Osasuna	7	1	2	4	-8	5
17	Malaga	7	0	4	3	-4	4
18	La Coruna	8	0	3	5	-10	3
19	Granada	8	0	3	5	-15	3
20	Sp Gijon	8	0	2	6	-10	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.