Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Royal Excel Mouscron
Beveren
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Club Brugge
|
22 | 18 | 1 | 3 | +40 | 55 |
| 2 |
Gent
|
22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | +22 | 45 |
| 3 |
Anderlecht
|
21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | +15 | 42 |
| 4 |
Oostende
|
22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | +9 | 38 |
| 5 |
Genk
|
20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | +13 | 36 |
| 6 |
Standard
|
25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | -12 | 35 |
| 7 |
Mechelen
|
25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 33 |
| 8 |
Waregem
|
21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | +7 | 32 |
| 9 |
Westerlo
|
30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | -24 | 30 |
| 10 |
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
|
30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | -11 | 29 |
| 11 |
Lokeren
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -7 | 27 |
| 12 |
Charleroi
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | -2 | 26 |
| 13 |
Kortrijk
|
23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | -7 | 26 |
| 14 |
Royal Excel Mouscron
|
25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 |
St Truiden
|
25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | -14 | 26 |
| 16 |
Beveren
|
25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | -17 | 25 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
N. Dussenne
Jonathan Buatu
L. Jans
Hugo Sousa
S. Schrijvers
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Kortrijk
Royal Excel Mouscron
Waregem
Royal Excel Mouscron
Royal Excel Mouscron
Anderlecht
Westerlo
Royal Excel Mouscron
Royal Excel Mouscron
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.