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Primeira Liga

Referee: Luis Miguel Rodrigues Ferreira

Porto

S T S S S

1–0

Full-time

Estoril

U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Estoril

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,2

Scored

2,8

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

3,0

0,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%

30 Shots 7

11 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 10

17 Corners 0

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Porto 3. · Estoril 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Chaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Belenenses	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Maritimo	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Chaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Belenenses	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Boavista	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.