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Ligue 1
Referee: J Brisard
Reims
S U U S T
1–1
Full-time
Lille
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reims Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,7
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 49%
37%
60%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
30%
53%
Both score Ø 49%
47%
50%
Average goals
2,1
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
10 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reims 6. · Lille 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 29 26 2 1 +71 80
2 Lille 30 18 6 6 +22 60
3 Lyon 31 16 8 7 +14 56
4 St Etienne 31 14 8 9 +8 50
5 Marseille 31 14 6 11 +5 48
6 Reims 30 11 13 6 +0 46
7 Montpellier 30 11 12 7 +8 45
8 Nice 30 12 8 10 -7 44
9 Strasbourg 30 10 12 8 +14 42
10 Rennes 30 11 9 10 +2 42
11 Nimes 30 11 7 12 -1 40
12 Angers 31 8 14 9 +0 38
13 Bordeaux 31 9 11 11 -1 38
14 Toulouse 30 7 11 12 -16 32
15 Nantes 29 8 7 14 -5 31
16 Monaco 31 7 10 14 -15 31
17 Amiens 31 8 7 16 -19 31
18 Dijon 31 6 6 19 -24 24
19 Caen 31 4 11 16 -22 23
20 Guingamp 31 5 8 18 -34 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reims Lille
23′
🟨 Adama Soumaoro
29′
🟨 Thiago Maia
Jacques-Alaixys Romao 🟨
39′
Baba Rahman 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
55′
José Fonte 0–1
Thiago Mendes
R. Oudin 🔁
↦ A. Zeneli
59′
P. Chavarría 🔁
↦ B. Dia
66′
70′
🔁 Rafael Leão
↦ L. Rémy
1–1 R. Oudin
T. Dingomé
78′
M. Doumbia 🔁
↦ T. Dingomé
83′
89′
🔁 B. Soumaré
↦ Thiago Maia
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Reims

4-2-3-1
16 E. Mendy G
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
2 B. Engels D
32 T. Foket D
21 A. Baba D
4 A. Romao M
7 X. Chavalerin M
20 T. Dingomé M
24 M. Cafaro M
17 A. Zeneli F
33 B. Dia F
Bench (7)
18 R. Oudin
12 P. Chavarría
25 M. Doumbia
30 N. Lemaitre
10 Suk Hyun-Jun
8 M. Martin
6 A. Disasi

Coach: D. Guion

Lille

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
6 José Fonte D
5 A. Soumaoro D
3 Y. Koné D
17 M. Çelik D
23 Thiago Mendes M
20 Thiago Maia M
12 J. Ikoné M
9 L. Rémy F
19 N. Pépé M
14 J. Bamba M
Bench (7)
7 Rafael Leão
24 B. Soumaré
1 A. Jakubech
4 Gabriel
11 Luiz Araujo
26 J. Pied
10 Rui Fonte

Coach: C. Galtier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Brisard · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.